Biggest Bond Short … Ever

January 12, 2026 By in Bonds, Interest Rates, TLT 5 Comments

What’s Next?

With only 265 views as of this post, you would expect news like this to be everywhere.

Not willing to take a data point of only one, putting in the question of TLT short interest, yields this, link here.

Stay Tuned

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5 responses

  1. This is something I pay a lot of attention to and is why I am so bullish on treasury bonds. I still think we get a short squeeze somewhere.

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    • The two videos, today and yesterday (from Black Swan) imply that something big (obviously) is about to happen.

      Ed Dowd has a new interview on Thoughtful Money. I’ll be watching that soon.

      Paul

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      • If I could bug you some more, there’s an interesting chart that lance roberts shared on his twitter page of the dow jones going back 125 years. And basically, we’re bumping up into long-term resistance here. I know you like robert prechter so maybe there’s some overlap there; maybe we’re getting close to a down-leg in elliot wave.

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      • I appreciate the question as it points me to data I don’t generally access.

        With that said, I looked at the chart and consider it important.

        The part to note is the ‘throw-over’ in 1929, and an apparent one now. Once we get a decisive move lower (below the trend line), then the wheels are in motion, and we may just head for that 90% loss.

        Another important part is the ‘1906’ date. I’m not sure if you have read Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, but Livermore talks at length about how hard it was to position short for what then became The Panic of 1907.

        He repeatedly when short, then covered, then short again and covered again … and on.

        Like Roberts says, the chart is not a timing indicator but a head’s up that we’ve got to be close.

        Thanks again,

        Paul

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