Saia, Inc. … The Breakdown

February 12, 2026 By in Rydex, SAIA, SAIA-26-01, Transportation Leave a comment

Watch the Transports

It’s a no-brainer we’re seeing or about to see, massive corporate layoffs, link here.

If it’s as bad as reported or worse, the economic hit can’t be denied or somehow spun as ‘the best economy, ever’.

Back in the day, when the markets made some kind of sense, old-timers would tell us to ‘watch the transports’.

It’s the index which typically signals the first sign of economic trouble (not advice, not a recommendation).

SAIA, reported earnings two days ago, link here.

The market reaction was a powerful thrust lower, a slight recovery (test) yesterday, then continuation to the downside, today.

SAIA, Inc. SAIA, Daily

The trading response was to go short on the tenth, increase the position by 50%, yesterday during the test, then stand back and let the market decide (not advice, not a recommendation).

Rydex Bull/Bear

Recall, the work has already been done from a strategic standpoint, probability favors the downside, link here (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Lattice Semi … All-Time Highs

February 11, 2026 By in LSCC, Spring-to-Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Breakout or Blowout?

Earnings release, pre-market trading in Lattice, is at all-time highs.

As the chart shows, if this (potential) breakout fails, then we have a repeating pattern set-up.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Spotify … Short Targets

February 10, 2026 By in Retail Investor, SPOT, Wyckoff, ZeroHedge 2 Comments

Dip, or Squeeze?

Spotify’s earnings release, coincided with a (supposedly) massive ‘retail’ buying spree, link here.

The article says it’s retail causing the launch; comment’s section, says otherwise.

From a Wyckoff analysis perspective, it doesn’t matter who’s doing the buying or why.

What matters, is what the market is saying about itself.

Spotify SPOT, Daily

As this link says, there’s not much sold short … less than 3% of float.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

On The Spot

February 9, 2026 By in SPOT Leave a comment

Before The Open

Spotify releases earnings tomorrow, before the bell.

From all-time highs of 785, June 27th last year, to today, SPOT is down -47.15%.

The monthly chart at left, shows we’re at a potential support level (not advice, not a recommendation).

Depending on how the market responds, we’ll discuss potential trades at that time.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Cadence Wedge

February 8, 2026 By in CDNS Leave a comment

Hanging On

After the ‘Reversal Ready’ update, link here, Cadence never looked back.

Now, we’re at the edge of a wedge boundary with earnings coming up soon, link here.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

DoorDash, Rally into Earnings?

February 7, 2026 By in AMZN, BALL, CPAY, DASH, DASH-26-01, DVA, ORLY, Wyckoff Leave a comment

‘Spring’ Position

DoorDash, has been traded once to the short side this year: DASH-26-01.

That trade was closed out (covered) on January 12th, profit of 7.58%.

Note, from the link above, after January 7th, and the ‘test’, price action began an immediate decline, to now.

An error on the trade, was not maintaining the position, and closing out this past Friday 🙂

At this point, we’ve penetrated support, now in Wyckoff ‘spring’ position.

Spring position does not guarantee a rally. It just means the market may attempt to move higher and take out any shorts late to the party (not advice, not a recommendation).

DoorDash DASH, Daily

Earnings release, February 18th, after the close.

As we’ve seen with the Amazon and O’Reilly collapse, Ball Corp., CorPay Inc., DaVita HealthCare launch (and others), response to earnings are all over the map.

There’s no telling what’s going to happen with earnings and DASH (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

At The Edge …

February 6, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Semiconductors, SOXX, TXN, TXN-26-02, TXN-26-03 Leave a comment

Stretched, at All-Time Highs

We’re looking for The Danger Point®, where the risk (of being wrong) is least (not advice, not a recommendation).

This method applies to going long as well as short:

Buy or sell (short) at the edge.

Looking at the chart of Texas Instruments, you’ll have to judge for yourself if we’re at that edge.

Texas Instruments TXN, Daily Close (12:37 p.m., EST)

Using the data from yesterday’s update, link here, we’re at a point that could get very interesting.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

TXN … Dotcom Then, A.I., Now

February 5, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Michael Bordenaro, Semiconductors, SOXX, TXN, TXN-26-02 1 Comment

Once, in a Generation

Michael Bordenaro’s latest update, had this in the comment section (paraphrasing):

‘It’s likely, few people realize how far this is going to go, and how long it’s going to last.’

With that said, we’ll look at a once-in-a-generation event, Texas Instruments.

Not since the height of the dot-com mania, has there been a repeat of the indicator shown below.

Texas Instruments TXN, Monthly

Two massive Force Index spikes, a generation apart.

In the dotcom mania, the spike was not the top; that came a month later.

For the A.I. mania, TXN posted its spike last month (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

TE Connectivity … Breakdown

February 4, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, TEL, TEL-26-01 Leave a comment

Massive Wedge Throw-Over

The last update on TEL, was over six months ago, link here.

The chart in that update showed a massive long-term wedge.

At the time, price action was right at the upper boundary.

What came next, was an apparent ‘throw-over’ that’s lasted six months (not advice, not recommendation).

If price action declines decisively back into the wedge, we’ll discuss measured move(s) at that time.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

O’Rilley Earnings …

February 3, 2026 By in ORLY, Spring-to-Up-Thrust Leave a comment

After Hours, Tomorrow

ORLY, reports tomorrow, after-hours.

Since we got a ‘spring’ by penetrating support, it’s possible, price action will resolve itself by posting an up-thrust (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279