The Last Time … Was ’29

September 22, 2026 By in 1929, Great Depression, Great Depression 2.0, Greater Depression, Ox Talks Leave a comment

… Also, In ’99

As Ox Talks reports, the markets have posted an indictor that’s only happened twice in the last 100+ years.

Just before a melt-down (not advice, not a recommendation).

The ‘event’ (time stamp 0:48) being discussed, took place on July 23rd, 1929.

The actual market top in ’29, was less than two months later; September 3rd, the day after the Labor Day weekend.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

S&P … One More (all-time) High?

September 21, 2026 By in S&P, S&P 500, SPY, Wyckoff Leave a comment

Within Range

The last update on SPY, showed ‘shortening of the thrust’; a classic Wyckoff observation concerning end of trend (not advice, not a recommendation).

Now, we have a possibility of another all-time high.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CarMax Reversal … and Test?

September 20, 2026 By in KMX, Transportation Leave a comment

Fibonacci Week 5

This coming week is Fibonacci ‘Week 5’, from the KMX reversal during the week of 8/28 (labeled as ‘1’ on the chart).

Note the volume last week, increased over 78% from the week prior (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

S&P … ‘Short-Stack’

September 19, 2026 By in S&P, S&P 500, SPY, Wyckoff, Wyckoff Stock Market Institute 1 Comment

A Century Old, Observation

The net upward distance traveled on the S&P, with each major thrust, is getting shorter.

This ‘shortened thrust’ is one of Wyckoff’s observations going all the way back to ‘Studies in Tape Reading‘.

It’s getting harder for the S&P to make any additional headway; the move is nearing its end (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Market Highs, Weeks, Months Ago

September 18, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Artificial Intelligence, Biotech, DIA, Dow 30, House of El - AI, Nasdaq, Ox Talks, QQQ, S&P, S&P 500, Semiconductors, SOXX, SPY, XBI, XBI-26-11, XBI-26-12 Leave a comment

Dow, S&P, Qs Et al.

The Dow (DIA) all-time highs were on August 5th, the S&P (SPY) on August 13th, the Qs (QQQ), way back on June 3rd; Semiconductors (SOXX), June 22nd, and the list goes on.

We have updates by the day, if not the hour, like this, this, and this, letting us know in real-time, the air’s coming out of the bubble (not advice, not a recommendation).

So, ‘gentlemen, start your engines‘ 🙂

Pick your market

Biotech XBI, Daily

The chart has an added bonus, showing the potential trading channel.

Trade Action: Yesterday, XBI-26-11, was exited at break even, then re-established (short) as XBI-26-12, and well-in-the-green by the close (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Oracle & ‘Junk Status’

September 17, 2026 By in ORCL, Ox Talks Leave a comment

Massive Channel

As reported by Ox Talks, link here, Oracle’s corporate bonds are about one tick above ‘junk’ status, Time Stamp: 13:00 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Expedia … Top, Reverse, Test

September 16, 2026 By in EXPE, Transportation, travel Leave a comment

Long Term?

Expedia has so far, failed to sustain a breakout to new highs.

The chart shows several weeks above the resistance line set by highs posted back in early January.

Price action broke below those highs, coming back to test at 38%, a weak retrace (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech (channel) Breakdown

September 15, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, IBB, IBB-26-05, SPBIO, XBI, XBI-26-11 Leave a comment

Off The Cliff?

We won’t know for sure, until a long time from now … when it’s all over (not advice, not a recommendation).

Yesterday’s action in biotech IBB, posted a new daily high, while at the same time, XBI moved higher but was unable to post a new high.

Trade Action: IBB-26-05, was exited with profit and the short re-established as XBI-26-11 (not advice, not a recommendation).

As the chart shows (blue arrows), that XBI short was increased during today’s session.

Biotech XBI, Daily

We’re still at the far-right side, the ‘supply side’.

If the entire channel is in-effect, the ‘demand side’, is a long way away.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Tesla ‘Channel’ Update

September 14, 2026 By in Transportation, TSLA Leave a comment

Contact Points

Price action has verified the existence of the right-side trend line with at least three contact points (not advice, not a recommendation).

Minor pivots posted at Fibonacci intervals.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Aflac … To Pivot or Not

September 13, 2026 By in AFL, Insurance, Ox Talks Leave a comment

At The Trend

The situation with Aflac, is best explained at this link.

Aflac ‘has nowhere else to go’.

It’s either going to break higher and continue the rally from the spring set-up or reverse down hard, back into the channel (not advice, not a recommendation).

The outlier, it does nothing, goes sideways.

However, with stories like this breaking by the day, if not the hour, doing ‘nothing’ appears to be low probability.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279