Allstate’s ‘Day 13’

August 13, 2026 By in ALL, Artificial Intelligence, Insurance, Moby Dick, Ox Talks Leave a comment

Tomorrow, Friday

Will tomorrow post a new daily high for ALL, and make it an even thirteen?

For that matter, why focus on (boring) insurance, anyway?

Probably, the best answer can be found here and here.

Many are focused on precious metals, bonds and the A.I. bubble.

Not a bad thing in itself.

However, behind the scenes, insurance companies are lumbering like The Great White Whale.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Allstate Breakdown

August 12, 2026 By in ALL, Insurance Leave a comment

Is the Top, In?

Looks like ALL, has ‘double topped’ the all-time highs.

Then, today, trend breakdown (not advice, not a recommendation).

Typical market action is a test of the break (higher action).

Let’s see if it happens.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Must Watch Video

August 11, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Ox Talks, Semiconductors Leave a comment

Demarcation Line

In the realm of the surreal, we have this.

Ox Talks gives an update on the latest psychosis concerning funding related to A.I.

All-of-a-sudden, for the first time in history, semiconductors, the chips themselves, are ‘investible assets’; time stamp: 3:08, in the link (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Micron … Wedge at The Edge

August 10, 2026 By in MU, Semiconductors, SOXX 2 Comments

Demand Evaporating?

Today was supposed to be the day when semis continued their short squeeze grind higher.

It didn’t happen.

Instead, we had various reversal patterns and (down) trendline confirmations.

The trend, channel, and minor wedge on MU, is a good example (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

KKR … Reversal

August 9, 2026 By in S&P 500, S&P, Dow 30, DIA, SPY, SOXX, QQQ, Nasdaq, Semiconductors, Up-Thrust, KKR Leave a comment

Ruh, Roh Moment

While the Dow, S&P, Qs and the SOXX all seem ready to continue higher, KKR, is absent from the party.

There’s an up-thrust reversal from resistance, then decline to minor support (dashed grey line).

Volume is increasing as price action nears that level.

The suggestion then, is the support will fail (not advice, not a recommendation).

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The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

AutoZone Rally … In Progress

August 8, 2026 By in 1987, AZO, Wyckoff Leave a comment

Trading Channel, Trend Line

Two weeks ago, was this update:

“Price action’s been hitting and bouncing off support for nearly two months; finally, penetrating and closing below that line, last Thursday.”

With that said, we had the definition of a Wyckoff ‘spring’ set-up.

So, what’s happened since then?

AutoZone AZO, Daily

At this point, the rally’s in-progress (not advice, not a recommendation).

If AZO continues higher from here and maintains the right side trendline, we get to ‘gap closure’ somewhere around August 25th.

For the histrions amongst us, August 25th, was the market high in 1987.

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The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CAT & AMD … Similar Set-Up

August 7, 2026 By in AMD, CAT Leave a comment

Still Testing?

Is Caterpillar and the overall market (including the semis) going to start next week attempting to move higher?

AMD has been covered over the past several days; like CAT (below), it looks like there could be some upside to test and/or closing of chart gaps (not advice, not a recommendation).

Caterpillar CAT, Daily

The spike higher (on earnings) to resistance could have already been the culmination of the move (from the recent lows) or just the initial sign of demand.

The chart shows, during the downside retrace, volume has contracted three consecutive days, indicating there’s potential for some subsequent action higher (not advice, not a recommendation).

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The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

AMD … Bulls, Back-Off

August 6, 2026 By in SOXX, Semiconductors, AMD Leave a comment

Volume Contracts

When volume drops off over 50% from one session to the next, it’s significant.

Yesterday’s update was unsure whether AMD was headed straight down, going to test, or morph into something else.

Looking at the chart, so far it’s a test (not advice, not a recommendation).

We’ll find out tomorrow, if that test is complete.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

AMD … Countdown to Collapse?

August 5, 2026 By in AMD, Artificial Intelligence, JBL, JBL-26-07, Semiconductors 1 Comment

It’s The ‘Fundamentals’ … Not

AMD is not the only ticker with a perfect, or near-perfect Fibonacci count; Jabil (JBL) has one as well (not advice, not a recommendation).

For JBL, from the all-time highs to today’s nascent reversal, is a Fibonacci 34 Days.

Seen in the AMD chart, its Fibonacci counts thus far, indicate probability for inflection points.

As is typical with this type of analysis, as soon as it’s obvious, it morphs into something else.

The question for AMD: Will it post straight down from here, a test, then down, a recovery higher, or something else?

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Mass Screaming Hysteria

August 4, 2026 By in Semiconductors, SOXX, Up-Thrust, ZeroHedge Leave a comment

FOMO

According to the finical press, it was mass screaming hysteria as stocks ‘short squeezed’ to all-time highs, link here.

However, one sector noticeably absent from the crazed party, were the semiconductors.

In fact, during the past month or so, the SOXX has gone from market leader to laggard (not advice, not a recommendation).

As we’ll see below, there’s also an interesting pattern; an a-b-c correction to a minor up-thrust.

Semiconductors SOXX, Daily

Note the inflection points at Days 1 and 3, with today, a potential inflection, at Day 5.

This price action is typical of a move to higher levels, potentially the top of the range and farther.

However, if the SOXX stalls at this point and reverses, it indicates severe weakness (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279