ENTG, Target, and Reversal

April 30, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, ENTG, Linda Raschke, Semiconductors Leave a comment

Technical Analysis

Didn’t we just hear about some ‘gazillionaire’ complaining that technical analysis doesn’t work anymore, link here.

Looking at the chart; It’s a time tested, ‘still working’ analysis of a wedge breakout.

Then, we have today’s session which was decidedly lower on the earnings release.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Man Vs. Machine

April 29, 2026 By in Crowded Market Report, Linda Raschke, Perry Kaufman Leave a comment

A.I. and Money Management

The machine it turns out, can already replicate (pick) 70% of fund managers positions.

That statement comes from Linda Rashke, during a recent interview, link here.

Doing some research, it’s possible, this is the ‘white paper’ she’s referencing, link here.

Buried down in that text, is the statement:

‘By 2030, A.I. will handle 80% of financial decision making.’

The ‘Market Modeler’: Perry Kaufman

Ms. Rashke calls out Perry Kaufman (Time Stamp 3:14), praising him as a ‘market modeler’.

She also calls out Stanley Druckenmiller (Time Stamp: 2:38), but not in a good way.

Human Value-Added

The way to fight against the machine or at least offer something it can’t, is with the ‘outliers’.

That is, the ability to discern the next direction when presented with unpredictable (or un-modellable) events.

We’re already in unprecedented times.

For this site, assessing the ‘outliers’, seems to be happening on a near-daily basis.

Turn Out The Lights

The ‘easy money’ party’s over (time Stamp: 5:05).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Alcoa … Dramatic Breakdown

April 28, 2026 By in AA, AA-26-03, AA-26-04, David Weis, Dr. Elder, Up-Thrust 2 Comments

Textbook

With a short-entry signal that’s straight out of David Weis’ training video (recorded in 2007), Alcoa breaks down in dramatic fashion (not advice, not a recommendation).

As of this post, 11:34 a.m., EST, Alcoa has gap-opened lower, currently down, -5.10%.

Alcoa AA, Daily

Prior short, AA-26-03, was exited last Friday with profit.

That action proved to be correct. The next session (yesterday), was a rally into a test.

Today, was a gap-lower open.

There’s a potential for a sustained move. Short, AA-26-04, opened with a stop located at yesterday’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CBRE Update

April 27, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, CBRE, CBRE-26-01, Real Estate Leave a comment

Tight Stop

The chart shows one interpretation of what’s going on with CBRE.

A short was opened this session with the stop as shown (not advice, not a recommendation).

The last update, left it open as to whether or not there would be more upside to test resistance (not shown).

So far, that’s not happening although the possibility remains.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CBRE Group

April 26, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, CBRE, Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Up-Thrust, on Earnings

CBRE Group has got its fingers in the A.I. narrative, link here.

An added bonus is their commitment to ‘net zero’, link here.

Considering the A.I. narrative is being ‘challenged‘, leads to the potential for directional movement (not advice, not a recommendation).

Price action oscillated in a 14-point range at earnings release last Thursday, ultimately closing down -2.74%.

CBRE Group CBRE, Daily

There was acceleration lower with heavy volume during the ‘A.I. Scare’, link here.

This past Thursday, resistance levels were tested.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Five Below … Breakout Fails

April 25, 2026 By in AA, AA-26-03, FIVE, FIVE-26-01, SPG, SPG-26-01, Spring-to-Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Once Again, The Pattern Repeats

It’s been one (potentially) false breakout after another.

So far, we have Alcoa, Simon Property Group, and now, Five Below.

Before continuing, trade AA-26-03, Alcoa short. closed: Profit 2.51% (not advice, not a recommendation).

The expectation was for decisive downside; it wasn’t happening

Now, back to FIVE.

The longer-term chart shows what’s taking place in this market and the markets overall, is on a massive scale.

Five Below FIVE, Weekly

The zoom area has five weeks of tight congestion.

That was followed by an attempted upside breakout last week, which (so far) has failed.

The stop on short-trade FIVE-26-01, is set at just above Friday’s high, 239.52 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SPG … Test Complete?

April 24, 2026 By in Real Estate, SPG, SPG-26-01 Leave a comment

What’s Next?

The last update on SPG, said this:

“Since price action looks quiet, no big fanfare of the (potential) reversal, an upward test of some type is probable”

Yesterday, may have been that upward test.

Especially so, if we get a new daily low today (not advice, not a recommendation).

Simon Property Group SPG, Daily

Note how volume contracted by 33%, when compared to the prior session 🙂

An in-the-market hard stop is 205.66, with a discretionary stop at yesterday’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Alcoa … Top, Drop, Test

April 23, 2026 By in AA, AA-26-03, Basic Materials, Linda Raschke, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Trading Channel

Today’s new daily low, indicates test of the up-thrust reversal (below), is complete.

During yesterday’s open, as the initial minutes pushed action higher, a short was opened (not advice, not a recommendation).

As Linda Rashke just got done telling us:

‘You need to have the market available (for your position) to take or provide your ‘inventory’

That means, selling out the longs or going short as the market is liquid or rising (not advice, not a recommendation).

Alcoa Corporation AA, Daily

Managing this trade, is watching the channel, maintaining position as long as price action dictates (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Simon Property Group

April 22, 2026 By in 2007 - 2008, Real Estate, SPG 1 Comment

The Pattern, Repeats

During the past two financial wipe-outs, Simon Property Group imploded.

From SPG’s highs in July 2016, to 2020 lows, SPG cratered -85.9%.

Before that, during the ’07 – ’09 meltdown, SPG followed suit with a swan dive of -80.4%, top-to-bottom.

Now, SPG is posting a repeating pattern.

Simon Property Group SPG, Daily

At this juncture, there are three possibilities:

Continuation lower, Upward test, then continuation lower, or Continuation higher.

Since price action looks quiet, no big fanfare of the (potential) reversal, an upward test of some type is probable (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

GE, Spikes in Pre-Market

April 21, 2026 By in GE Leave a comment

Earnings Release

GE just released earnings and has been trading in an 18-point range (green bar) in the pre-market.

The action’s consistent with the prior update; we’re (potentially) in a head and shoulders top (not advice, not a recommendation).

Update: 8:09 a.m., EST

GE, now in a wild 28-point range indicating potential regular session volatility.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279