Paccar’s Reversal

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Reverse Gear

Mid Session

PACCAR Truck Builder In Reverse

PACCAR’s in reverse in more ways than one.

From a market standpoint, this morning’s action puts PCAR at the danger point.

If today’s action or subsequent action can’t make a new daily high, then we’re in a potential up-thrust (reversal) condition.

The daily chart shows our well documented ‘spring to up-thrust’ empirically observed repeating pattern.

Keep your eye on Friday’s high (87.46). That’s the risk (not advice, not a recommendation).

It should be noted, there’s also potential to up-thrust around the 90.50, area; the location of a 50% retrace (not shown).

Last Friday’s high occurred at the 38%, retrace level.

Looking at it from a long term Quarterly perspective, gives us the chart below:

PCAR’s been in a rising (terminating) wedge for years. Now, it looks like the ‘throw-over’ is nearing completion.

What Does It Mean?

Why focus on PACCAR?

Because it’s the builder of trucks that are used to complete the supply chain; from container shipping dock to store-front or distribution facility.

If we do get a solid reversal back into the rising wedge, it signals a long term decline.

As of this post, PCAR is holding steady around 86.50.

Penetration of today’s low (85.45) signals trouble and potential confirmation of the up-thrust.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279