Category Archives: Up-Thrust

Airbnb … The Big Picture

October 18, 2026 By in ABNB, Real Estate, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff Leave a comment

Testing The Test

Yesterday’s update showed how Airbnb tested its wide, high-volume breakout with its own wide, high-volume downside.

That move culminated on September 23rd, which in turn, set up a test of those high-volume bars.

All of this action brings us to now.

The chart below, is a 2-Day Close of ABNB, going back to late 2021.

Airbnb ABNB, 2-Day Close

At the right side, we’re using Wyckoff terminology of ‘Up-Thrust’, ‘Sign of Supply’ and ‘Test’.

The up-thrust action penetrated long standing resistance at the far left. Then, reversed lower with what can be called ‘ease of movement’.

Now, we’ve come back up to test the up-thrust area.

Going Nowhere, Fast

It’s true that ABNB has oscillated in a wide range that’s over 100% from lows to highs.

However, there’s been no sustained long-term breakout to the upside.

With that said, ABNB has been posting (since 2020) sideways action.

In Wall St. parlance, a sideways market, is a bear market (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SOXX at Support

October 11, 2026 By in NVDA, Semiconductors, SOXX, TSM, Up-Thrust Leave a comment

What’s Next?

Last week, both Nvidia and Taiwan Semi, the two largest caps in the sector, reversed from their all-time highs.

The SOXX chart shows the effect of that action.

Now, we’re at a support level (dashed line).

‘Normal’ market behavior is to come back for a test (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The Top 1%

October 10, 2026 By in David Weis, Linda Raschke, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 2 Comments

Raschke, Weis and Wyckoff

The late David Weis once said he kept a copy of Wyckoff’s autobiography in his office, near him.

He made notes on it and marked it up so many times, the cover had fallen off.

His website (now deactivated) had a picture of him holding an original first edition Wyckoff ‘Studies In Tape Reading‘.

The last time I checked, that edition (if you could find one) in good condition, went for around $3,500.

All of this, ties-in with a recent interview of master trader, Linda Raschke, link here.

Wyckoff is specifically mentioned at time stamp: 10:52

In fact, just a few seconds later, we have a discussion on ‘springs’ and ‘up-thrusts’. 🙂

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SanDisk ‘Sleeper Channel’

October 6, 2026 By in SNDK, Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Once You See It

SNDK posted an up-thrust at Day 1.

Then, went to a support low at Day 5.

After that, up for a test at Day 8

It seems hardly noticeable, but there’s a channel.

At this juncture, that channel is declining at -99% annualized (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech Top … So, Far

September 29, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, SPBIO, Up-Thrust, XBI, XBI-26-16

Subdividing Lower

Looking at the chart from left-to-right, the peaks are lower and the lows, are lower.

As noted, today was an apparent up-thrust (reversal), with a test coming towards the close.

After-hours action (as of 7:40 p.m., EST) is holding steady; no movement up or down.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Best Buy … Top

September 26, 2026 By in BBY, Up-Thrust 4 Comments

Failure To Hold

Best Buy, posted Fibonacci 8-Days above resistance before closing lower.

The resistance level shown, goes back to early 2025, making the failed breakout (so far), an up-thrust (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Did Nvidia, Just Reverse?

September 23, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, NVDA, NVDA-26-02, Semiconductors, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff

A Test, Before Down?

The all-time high is at the far left of the chart.

Then, we have a resistance level, (blue lines), penetrated at ‘1‘.

Today’s red candle is Day 13 from ‘1‘, or Day 8 from the most recent daily lows.

From a Wyckoff perspective, we could look at Point 1, as an up-thrust, followed by ‘sign-of-supply’, and then a test.

Today’s new daily low at Fibonacci Day 8, or Day 13, may help us point odds to the downside (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Lowe’s Heads Lower

August 27, 2026 By in Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, LOW, LOW-26-01, Real Estate, Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Repeating Trendlines

It hasn’t been the same for Lowe’s since the earnings release, link here.

Price action spiked on the news, formed an upthrust, tested that print, and now, reversed lower.

In addition, as the chart shows, we have a trendline.

On top of that, the very same rate of downtrend (with channel) has happened before.

Lowe’s LOW, Daily

Today was a gap-lower open (see zoom area).

It’s possible, LOW will come back (tomorrow) and close the gap while still remaining in the downtrend (not advice, not a recommendation).

Let’s not forget, Fed kabuki tomorrow morning. 🙂

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CarMax Upside Breakout

August 21, 2026 By in CVNA, CVNA-26-04, KMX, Transportation, Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Carvana As Well?

If CarMax continues higher from here, it has a measured move target as shown (not advice, not a recommendation).

That implies Carvana may come along as well.

With that said, even though CVNA closed lower for the day, the session opened higher than yesterday’s close.

‘The higher open was not expected which now, ever so slightly, points bias to the upside.

CVNA was ‘short-traded’ throughout the day and CVNA-26-04, was closed-out with a slight profit.

Caveat Emptor

The breakout in KMX is not all that convincing.

If it falls back into the range, it’s likely an up-thrust (reversal).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana … Step-by-Step

August 20, 2026 By in CVNA, CVNA-26-04, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Transportation, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 1 Comment

The (short) Path

With today’s new daily high, Carvana’s following a Fibonacci sequence, thus far.

Referencing the chart below, we have:

Day 1: Wyckoff up-thrust, penetrating resistance (blue line).

Day 3: Lows, increased volume; ‘sign-of-supply’.

Day 5: Recovery high, testing the underside.

It’s at this point, anything can happen.

For most of today’s session, CVNA remained below the highs, giving doubt to the prior analysis.

It wasn’t until the last ten-minutes of trade, did price action move above yesterday’s high of 71.18.

Carvana CVNA, Daily

As CVNA pushed above that high, a short was opened: CVNA-26-04, with the stop just above today’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

If Carvana manages to push higher, the scenario discussed yesterday, the next resistance level may be more probable.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279