Category Archives: SPG

Five Below … Breakout Fails

April 25, 2026 By in AA, AA-26-03, FIVE, FIVE-26-01, SPG, SPG-26-01, Spring-to-Up-Thrust

Once Again, The Pattern Repeats

It’s been one (potentially) false breakout after another.

So far, we have Alcoa, Simon Property Group, and now, Five Below.

Before continuing, trade AA-26-03, Alcoa short. closed: Profit 2.51% (not advice, not a recommendation).

The expectation was for decisive downside; it wasn’t happening

Now, back to FIVE.

The longer-term chart shows what’s taking place in this market and the markets overall, is on a massive scale.

Five Below FIVE, Weekly

The zoom area has five weeks of tight congestion.

That was followed by an attempted upside breakout last week, which (so far) has failed.

The stop on short-trade FIVE-26-01, is set at just above Friday’s high, 239.52 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SPG … Test Complete?

April 24, 2026 By in Real Estate, SPG, SPG-26-01

What’s Next?

The last update on SPG, said this:

“Since price action looks quiet, no big fanfare of the (potential) reversal, an upward test of some type is probable”

Yesterday, may have been that upward test.

Especially so, if we get a new daily low today (not advice, not a recommendation).

Simon Property Group SPG, Daily

Note how volume contracted by 33%, when compared to the prior session 🙂

An in-the-market hard stop is 205.66, with a discretionary stop at yesterday’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Simon Property Group

April 22, 2026 By in 2007 - 2008, Real Estate, SPG 1 Comment

The Pattern, Repeats

During the past two financial wipe-outs, Simon Property Group imploded.

From SPG’s highs in July 2016, to 2020 lows, SPG cratered -85.9%.

Before that, during the ’07 – ’09 meltdown, SPG followed suit with a swan dive of -80.4%, top-to-bottom.

Now, SPG is posting a repeating pattern.

Simon Property Group SPG, Daily

At this juncture, there are three possibilities:

Continuation lower, Upward test, then continuation lower, or Continuation higher.

Since price action looks quiet, no big fanfare of the (potential) reversal, an upward test of some type is probable (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279