From the wedge breakout to the downside, Friday’s action in TLT has met the measured move.
Price action finished at the low of the day (+0.01) and is posting a bullish MACD divergence.
On the other end of the spectrum, the S&P 500 finished at all time highs.
Intuitively, we can see how this is setting up.
Each market is at an extreme. That includes real estate, IYR at its own 76.4%, retrace … although severely lagging the S&P.
Unfortunately at such junctures, we can expect some type of ‘incident’ to set things off in the opposite direction.
It may not happen but if it does, the markets define the news; not the other way around.
Charts by StockCharts