ChatGPT, Tops-Out

And With That, It’s Over

The ChatGPT craze lasted just long enough to ramp Nvidia and the SOXX, to stratospheric levels.

In the coming weeks and months, we’re likely to see who ‘cashed-in’ (a la Elon Musk) and for how much.

When a bull market nears the end of its lifecycle, it tends to thin-out.

As the smaller cap stocks fall away and underperform, they’re sold and that capital’s funneled into the ‘last man standing’; in this case, Nvidia (NVDA).

Broadcom (AVGO) is there as well, but it’s a distant second at 1/3rd, the market cap of NVDA.

Short Positioning

We’re short this sector via SOXS (not advice, not a recommendation) with entries shown in the prior update.

There was a third entry on 7/6 (not shown), but it’s minimal size when compared to the others.

Now, on to the charts

Semiconductor Leveraged Inverse Fund, SOXS

The following chart has the current hard-stop progression and soft-stop (trader discretion) locations.

Moving in closer with the zoom version.

The ‘AI’ bulls are in their brain stem (un-thinking), enabled in their fantasy by articles like this one and this one.

Of course, there’s more like here and here but we get the picture.

Taiwan Semi (TSM) Earnings Date

At the time of this update, TSM earnings date was an estimate, now confirmed as July 20th, before the open.

It’s about to get interesting.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279