Tesla Reversal & New Low(s)

January 6, 2026 By in TSLA, UBER, UBER-26-01

Watch for The Close

Tesla struggled above resistance, near all-time highs for nine trading days, before reversing lower.

Now, as shown, it’s posted a new daily low … below established support.

Watch price action into the close for a rally attempt; if it happens, risk is narrowed on a short trade, i.e., today’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Separately, Uber trade UBER-26-01, was closed out in the pre-market at break-even, before launching higher in the regular session (not advice, not a recommendation)

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

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Uber … in the Channel

January 5, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, SPBIO, UBER, UBER-26-01, XBI 2 Comments

False Breakout?

The chart of Uber is similar to biotech XBI, from last year, link here.

Back then, it looked like there was a breakout from a trading channel.

That update said:

“If the trendline is in-effect, meaning the market’s hanging in mid-air in a false breakout, getting back into that trend may result in some dramatic downside action.”

That’s what happened. Biotech collapsed in to the ‘Tariff’ meltdown.

Is that where we are now, with UBER? (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Buy Now, Pay Later

January 4, 2026 By in DASH, DASH-25-01, KLAR

DoorDash, Tracks Klarna

Buy Now, Pay Later, Klarna (KLAR) went public last September 10th.

It’s been (almost) non-stop downhill, from there.

From the IPO, KLAR is now down -37.65%.

Looking at DASH during the same time-period, shows near one-to-one correlation (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CrowdStrike to Test

January 3, 2026 By in CRWD, Goldman, Mark Douglas

‘Normal’ Market Behavior

The last update on CrowdStrike, was here.

Now that we got the break, the question for the next few trading sessions, is whether or not we’ll have a test (not advice not a recommendation).

Mentor Moment

Mark Douglas discusses changing one’s expectations to align with the market, link here.

With that in mind, here’s how Goldman Sachs plans to align themselves with the market, link here.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Walmart & Waste Management

January 2, 2026 By in WM, WMT

Pre-Market Prep

Walmart posted all-time highs last December 15th,

The bounce off support has been weak.

Waste Management (WM) is in a wedge formation (chart not shown).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Tesla’s Electric Short

January 1, 2026 By in AMZN, CRWD, TSLA, XLY, XLY-25-03, ZeroHedge

Ignored, by ‘Mr. Big’

The latest out from ZeroHedge, says that Michael Burry (a.k.a., The Big Short), while claiming Tesla is overvalued (current P/E, 271), does not have a short position.

Adding to the ‘overvaluation’ theme, is deterioration in sales that’s now entering its second year; here and here. Yet, TSLA just made all-time highs this past December 22nd.

In a nutshell, this is the problem with ‘fundamentals’.

Meaning, as far as assessing price action probability, they’re not useful and never have been (not advice, not a recommendation).

A good example of that premise is CrowdStrike (CRWD); with its current P/E, at minus 428. That’s a negative.

When their P/E, is positive, which is not often, we get numbers like 786; yet, the closing price (yesterday) for CRWD was 468.76, with a market cap of 119.4 billion.

How does that even work?

Possibly more entertaining from the ZeroHedge link, are the comments. All kinds of reasons not to short Tesla.

Tesla TSA, Daily

What do you see?

TSLA printed an all-time high on an attempted breakout that has so far, fallen below resistance.

On the sell side, is of course, to short TSLA directly.

Not wanting to be completely exposed to any untoward action, one can short Consumer Discretionary XLY, and effectively short AMZN as well (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

DoorDash Reversal

December 31, 2025 By in Car Questions Answered, DASH, DASH-25-01 4 Comments

Consumer, Running on Fumes

If the consumer was just fine, then we wouldn’t have announcements of one business failure, or plant closure after another, here, here and here.

DoorDash (DASH) falls into the (completely) discretionary camp.

Does anyone really need this?

The chart shows a massive (largest ever) downward thrust on November 6th, from which DASH has been attempting to recover.

This past week, it looks like that recovery has failed (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Delta … Resistance & Reversal

December 30, 2025 By in Airlines, DAL, DAL-25-06

Bearish Divergence

Delta’s (DAL) the largest cap in the airline sector.

For the past three weeks, it’s attempted to break out above prior long-term highs.

That breakout so far, appears to be failing (not advice, not a recommendation).

Delta Airlines DAL, Weekly

Yesterday, DAL posted a new weekly low. Today, has been a test of that break (so far).

On the chart, we have an MACD bearish divergence.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The Silver ‘Circus’

December 29, 2025 By in Gold & Silver, HL, HL-25-01, SILH26, SLV

From: ‘Buy at Any Price, to ‘Volatility’

Seems like just yesterday, it was ‘buy at any price’.

Now, it’s ‘volatility’, link here and here.

Looking at the futures (SILH26), it appears to be the typical commodity blow-off (not advice, not a recommendation).

Of course, as always, anything can happen; somehow, somewhere (over the rainbow), silver could recover.

Hitting The Margin

Let’s not forget, margin increases, here and here.

For now, for the bulls, it doesn’t look good.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Silver … ‘It’s Different This Time’

December 28, 2025 By in Bert Dohmen, Ed Dowd, Gold & Silver, SLV

Deflationary Pressures

This is not 1980, or 2011, says the report at this link. Website, link here.

The premise for ‘it’s different’, is the demand for ‘physical delivery’.

The chart in yesterday’s post, showed tracking fund SLV, very close to its Fibonacci 161.8% projection, near 76.30.

If we refer back to recent interviews with Ed Dowd, and to some extent, Bert Dohmen, they both talk about the current bubble(s).

However, Ed Dowd in particular, discusses the potential for a ‘deflation scare’.

That in turn, allows a provocative thought:

Maybe, deflationary pressures are so intense, the only way to get a blow-off mania spike (this time), is to demand delivery and stress the infrastructure (not advice, not a recommendation).

The futures market opens, in about 10-hours.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279