Nothing (or not much) Holding It Up
We’re still a few hours away from the Fed announcement and it’s already high anxiety in the market.
D.R., Horton (DHI) has retraced about 38% of its move and is testing the underside of breakdown resistance.
Over on the ‘Little, or no P/E’ side of the market, biotech XBI is coiling, building (downside) potential in its own on-going reversal.
Biotech XBI, Daily
The last update on biotech XBI (link here), said to watch for a false breakout.
The chart shows the result. The breakout did not last; we’re congesting just below resistance (blue line).
The latest post from Uneducated Economist talks about the potential for lower rates, i.e., probabilities are low.
Incorporating that possibility into the above analysis, it suggests the XBI move from last November to the end of December, is essentially built on “bottled air” (not advice, not a recommendation).
The retail side of the market appears to be positioned long, expecting lower rates.
What happens if that does not happen?
Stay Tuned
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The Danger Point® 