Bonds & Brokers … Reversal

September 8, 2025 By in HOOD, HOOD-25-07, IBKR, IBKR-25-01, Interest Rates, Positions, S&P, S&P 500, SCHW, SCHW-25-01, SPY, TLT, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 3 Comments

Well, Except for HOOD

Long bonds TLT, have launched higher four consecutive sessions; yields lower.

Two major brokers, Schwab and Interactive, appear to have tested (or, are testing) their Friday breakdown.

Robinhood bucked the trend, closing at all-time highs.

That puts HOOD, in potential Wyckoff ‘up-thrust’ (reversal) position (not advice, not a recommendation).

Note: The S&P did not post new highs. Last Friday’s all-time high, remains intact.

Charts to follow.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

3 responses

  1. Treasury bonds and mortgage reits are my largest holdings. Been having a good week. I come in here for short-trade ideas, which I have trouble finding on the internet. As always, the trade updates are much appreciated.

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    • Thanks for the insight,

      A significant bond reversal (after yield inversion) may be telling us the economic down-leg has started or is already here. It’s an indicator that has been accurate way back to the 1930s, if memory serves.

      I don’t trade the S&P, but I watch it. So far, last Friday’s all-time high is holding.

      Since the financial sector was down hard on Friday, then XLF along with others barely inching higher today if at all (ex. HOOD), it may be telling us this is when a downside reversal could take hold (instead of happening in A.I. and the SOXX).

      We’re right at the edge where it does not take much to move things in either direction.

      That also means one has to be prepared to exit, wait and re-enter, if the set-up presents itself again.

      So far, SCHW and IBKR are doing what would be expected (testing) if Friday’s downdraft was the start.

      Of course, the expectation is a downside continuation for both, tomorrow.

      We’ll see.

      Regards,

      Paul

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      • I’m just a retail investor, but what I gathered from listening to lance roberts recently is that the stock buyback window will close next week. CTA’s are very long too. So shorting the market should work here soon. Maybe we’re a week early.

        What’s personally got me so excited, is everyone seems to be writing off the recent jobs report. I think a shake-up is due in the markets, we’ll see.

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