Category Archives: SPOT

Spotify … A Second Look

December 9, 2025 By in AZO, ORLY, ORLY-25-01, SPOT, SPOT-25-04, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 2 Comments

New Target(s)

Even as yesterday’s update was being released, SPOT price action started negating the analysis.

So, let’s take another look to see if opportunity lies ahead.

Before getting started, note auto parts (AZO, ORLY) are down hard in today’s session; the potential for which, indicated just two days prior.

Spotify SPOT, Daily

A push above the 603 – 604, puts SPOT in Wyckoff ‘up-thrust’ condition while at the same time, being at the 23.6% retrace level.

When looking at the long-term quarterly chart (not shown), there’s significant resistance at the 615.6 area (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SPOT(ify) in The Channel

December 8, 2025 By in SPOT, SPOT-25-04 1 Comment

Already Down, Over -29%

The last update on Spotify was back in August, link here.

SPOT’s down another – 20% since then, and over -29%, from the all-time highs.

The chart shows we’re in a trading channel.

Spotify SPOT, Daily

At this juncture, downward thrust (net) distance is slowing somewhat.

However, price action is near the right downtrend line and may pivot lower to confirm (not advice, not a recommendation).

The set-up is not ideal.

Obvious locations for a stop (if short) are today’s high, yesterday’s high or a decisive break of the right side trendline (not advice, not a recommendation).

Note the channel is a Fibonacci 8-Days wide.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Another Wedge … Expedia

November 29, 2025 By in 1907, APP, CARR, CDNS, CVNA, CVNA-25-17, EBAY, EBAY-25-01, Ed Dowd, EXPE, EXPE-25-01, Livermore, NFLX, NVDA, ORCL, SPOT, TEL, Terminating Wedge, UBER, Wyckoff 1 Comment

‘Ending Moves’

Back in the day, Jesse Livermore nearly went bust attempting to short the downside of what became, The Panic of 1907.

Stopped out time and again, he finally (according to Wyckoff) hawked his car to rase capital.

Form nearly broke, to closing out short trades on October 24th 1907, net profit over $1-milllion.

With that, we have a strategic picture, in focus.

During a recent interview, Ed Dowd discussed the +35.95% gap (and close) on Oracle, as a result of ‘projections‘.

The take-away (from him) was these types of moves are ‘ending moves’, not the beginning of a new bull run.

Since then, price action has fully retraced.

ORCL, is currently down a whopping -41.6%, from its all-time highs. Hardly a bull market.

We’ve presented eBay in a similar position.

Carvana, launched itself above resistance at Friday’s close. In so doing, got itself into another wedge.

Now we have Expedia, looking eerily similar (not advice, not a recommendation).

Like eBay, we’ll start with the long term, quarterly chart.

Expedia EXPE, Quarterly

The latest earnings release pushed EXPE up, contacting the upper trendline.

A gap higher and close of +17.55%, in one day.

EXPE has since backed off the all-time high; currently down about -8.5%.

Edge of The Wedge

The following is a partial list of tickers either forming a (monthly) terminating wedge, or have broken out to the downside (not advice, not a recommendation)

APP, CARR, CDNS, CVNA, EBAY, EXPE, NFLX, NVDA, SPOT, TEL, UBER

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Spotify Drops, Then Tops

August 20, 2025 By in Dr. Elder, Positions, SPOT, SPOT-25-01, Up-Thrust

Upside Gone?

At the last earnings release, Spotify had its worst day in two years, link here.

The reaction was immediate, price action down hard.

Close inspection shows, on a daily basis and also weekly, the amount of downside thrust energy (Elder’s Force Index), was the highest, ever.

In short, downside force was massive.

Spotify, SPOT, Daily

The weekly chart has a similar look, largest weekly downside energy, ever.

Attempted Recovery … Not

After the hit on July 29th, price action spent the next two-weeks attempting to recover … which at this point, looks to have failed.

Short SPOT, as SPOT-25-01, with stop near today’s session high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279