Weekly, Wrap-Up

The Usual Suspects

No. 1

Carvana Fires 2,500 Employees

We didn’t see that one coming. Or, did we?

Just a quick review of this report posted over six-months ago:

“If your biggest claim to fame is that you ‘invented’ a vending machine … you’ve got real problems.”

“As the economy (if you can call it that) falls off the cliff, one of these two (CMX, CVNA), is not likely to survive.”

Well, looks like we have the answer on that one.

From the date of the report above to last Friday’s close, CVNA, is down -87.8%.

Measured from all-time highs, CVNA, is down -91.1%.

As CVNA, swirls down the drain of ‘disruption’, looks like it was only a blip in the land of ‘status quo’.

No. 2

The ProLogis ‘Connection’

Is this a re-print of a prior report?

No, the update below, is essentially a confirmation of the analysis in that (above) report.

Turns out that Amazon (link here) is in negotiations with chief cook and warehouse bottle-washer, ProLogis (here) about terminating massive amounts of lease space.

The entire affair, is an irrefutable confirmation of the Wyckoff analysis method.

That is, ‘the market itself defines it’s next likely course’.

Those on the inside always know something; that ‘something’ (i.e., their actions) shows up on the tape.

After the initial ‘ProLogis Connection’, a follow-up was posted that identified the largest down-thrust energy in ProLogis history.

From that report was this quote:

“We’re using PLD, as the proxy for the real estate (IYR) sector as it’s the largest cap equity.”

“That’s true for now … but maybe not for long.”

How quickly things change.

ProLogis is now the number two in the IYR market cap and very close to being third.

No. 3

Wealth Confiscation Coming Soon

The first two bullets perceived events before they happened, so let’s make it three-in-a-row.

This one’s pretty much a no-brainer.

During the last meltdown in 2007 – 2009, IRA retirement accounts came within a hairs-width of being confiscated.

This time around, could be for sure.

The following’s a section of a report written years ago.

It’s even more relevant now.

Begin Report

4/7/19

Government To Confiscate IRAs?  It’s Easy

There has been enough time for the American working (and saving) public to take the lessons of the 2007- 2009 meltdown and act accordingly.

One of those lessons would have been to realize, just how close they came to having their IRAs confiscated.

Personally, I’m surprised that any of the following links below are still active.  Well, who’s looking at this stuff anyway?  Certainly, not the general public:

Dems Target

Fact Check

Congress considering

Government to Confiscate (no longer active)

Confiscation of Private Retirement

Even in the Wall St. Journal:  Targeting your 401K

After reading several of these reports in 2009 and later, it did not take long for me to set the plan in motion to cash out … completely.  I took the 10% penalty, while it’s still 10% and liquidated my accounts.

The rest of the population?  Not so much.

I think it was Prechter who laid out just how easy it is for the government to seize IRA accounts.  It’s basically a two step process.

Step 1.  The market drops 50% to 70%.  Remember, the drop from 2007 to the bottom in 2009 was 58%.

Step 2.  Declare a state of emergency (executive order) for the working population and move in to “save” the IRA accounts from more devastation.  The result would involve a stiff withdrawal penalty (say 50%) and to “protect” the accounts from further losses, IRAs can only invest in U.S. Treasuries or Bonds.

It’s that easy. 

As stated previously, wealth does not necessarily mean gold and silver.  That too can (and has been in the past) be confiscated.

In fact, I and my firm are already operating as if the next crisis is in full swing and asset confiscation is the norm.  That way, we don’t have to come up to speed quickly in what may be an extreme stress situation. 

End Report

One could propose that (IRA) legislation is already written.

Just like the CARES Act was already written and submitted to committee in January of 2019, nine months before there was any kind of outbreak.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

%d bloggers like this: