Category Archives: KRE

Consumer ‘Bailout’?

November 19, 2025 By in AMZN, KRE

Not Likely

The banks have (probably) decided how they’re getting a bail-out.

One option is with your money, link here.

Maybe that’s why the financial sector, regional banks (KRE) are hesitating to move significantly lower.

They might in the future, but not currently (not advice, not a recommendation).

So, the banks are covered.

Who’s covering the ‘consumer’?

What better indicator of the economy, consumer ‘health’, than consumption bastion, Amazon.

Amazon AMZN, Weekly

Looks straightforward, i.e., bearish (not advice, not a recommendation).

Note the volume ‘climax’, occurred during the week of earnings release, link here.

Amazon’s one (or the) proxy for the consumer. So far, that consumer’s not looking well.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

‘Isolated Fraud’

October 26, 2025 By in Banking, Financial Sector, KRE, SD Buiilion, XLF 2 Comments

The New, ‘Subprime Contained’

That’s how mainstream financial media labels it.

Not to worry, it’s only:

‘Isolated Fraud‘

Some know but probably most don’t, the banking laws were changed over a decade ago, in 2014.

Details about those changes, are here and here.

With that said, price action of ETF financial sectors KRE and XLF, have not completely melted down … yet (not advice, not a recommendation).

What they have done, is topped, reversed, and are now testing resistance levels; especially XLF.

Financial Sector XLF, Daily Close

For reference, the all-time high and reversal (still intact) was first discussed here.

Also shown, is the Fibonacci time sequence that appears to be in-effect.

Fibonacci sequencing tends to work best when markets are highly emotional (like now).

Monday, is ‘Day 8’.

Let’s see what happens next.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Banks ‘Rolling Over’

October 21, 2025 By in Banking, Ed Dowd, KRE, KRE-25-02, Ox Talks, Positions, Thoughtful Money

Market Summary, Ed Dowd

The section at left, shows the bank (KRE) rebound from last Thursday’s sell-off, losing steam.

In the early part of this interview with Ed Dowd, he states the banks are ‘rolling over’ as a result of a ‘toxic brew’ of economic conditions (not advice, not a recommendation).

We see that (potential) in the chart.

Adding to that, we have this, from ‘Ox Talks’.

It’s a technical rundown of the latest fraud and lawsuit. Well worth the 17-minutes to view.

That was yesterday. Today, he’s out with more, link here.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The Morning After

October 20, 2025 By in Banking, GDXJ, Gold & Silver, Gold Miners, JDST, KRE, Positions, SLV, UBER, UBER-25-04, XLF, XLF-25-08 2 Comments

Sort Of

It’s not really the morning after but being the day after Friday’s action, we’ll call it even.

Two shorts closed and three opened.

Both the XLF, and UBER, shorts were closed; one with profit, one not. Then, three more opened (not advice, not a recommendation).

As stated in the comments on this previous post, it’s possible the banking index KRE, is not going to make it to Fibonacci Day 34, this Wednesday.

Time counts are always secondary to price action.

Next up, is the silver market.

It’s a no-brainer that something’s ready to break. The press and YouTubers, et al., would have you believe that were finally ‘putting it to the man’. The ‘paper manipulation’ is over, so it goes.

Mabe that’s right this time around.

However, I’ll stick with the market-makers that have been in control since the buttonwood tree. 🙂

More updates to come with charts and positions.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Uber … The Wheels Come Off

October 16, 2025 By in Banking, Ed Dowd, GLD, Gold & Silver, KRE, Positions, SLV, TRV, TRV-25-01, XLF, XLF-25-08 1 Comment

Waiting for The Close

Something’s happened to the banks, XLF, KRE; both down hard.

Gold, GLD has launched parabolic, typical of blow-off moves.

Meanwhile bonds are higher (Ed Dowd told us to watch those), insurance companies hit and then, there’s Uber.

Uber, UBER, Daily

Uber at all-time highs for weeks before breaking down.

It’s now penetrated support.

There’s likely to be an attempt to ‘spring’ off that penetration (expected to fail).

If it’s going to happen, watch the close.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279