Category Archives: Ox Talks

The Last Time … Was ’29

September 22, 2026 By in 1929, Great Depression, Great Depression 2.0, Greater Depression, Ox Talks Leave a comment

… Also, In ’99

As Ox Talks reports, the markets have posted an indictor that’s only happened twice in the last 100+ years.

Just before a melt-down (not advice, not a recommendation).

The ‘event’ (time stamp 0:48) being discussed, took place on July 23rd, 1929.

The actual market top in ’29, was less than two months later; September 3rd, the day after the Labor Day weekend.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Market Highs, Weeks, Months Ago

September 18, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Artificial Intelligence, Biotech, DIA, Dow 30, House of El - AI, Nasdaq, Ox Talks, QQQ, S&P, S&P 500, Semiconductors, SOXX, SPY, XBI, XBI-26-11, XBI-26-12

Dow, S&P, Qs Et al.

The Dow (DIA) all-time highs were on August 5th, the S&P (SPY) on August 13th, the Qs (QQQ), way back on June 3rd; Semiconductors (SOXX), June 22nd, and the list goes on.

We have updates by the day, if not the hour, like this, this, and this, letting us know in real-time, the air’s coming out of the bubble (not advice, not a recommendation).

So, ‘gentlemen, start your engines‘ 🙂

Pick your market

Biotech XBI, Daily

The chart has an added bonus, showing the potential trading channel.

Trade Action: Yesterday, XBI-26-11, was exited at break even, then re-established (short) as XBI-26-12, and well-in-the-green by the close (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Oracle & ‘Junk Status’

September 17, 2026 By in ORCL, Ox Talks

Massive Channel

As reported by Ox Talks, link here, Oracle’s corporate bonds are about one tick above ‘junk’ status, Time Stamp: 13:00 (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Aflac … To Pivot or Not

September 13, 2026 By in AFL, Insurance, Ox Talks

At The Trend

The situation with Aflac, is best explained at this link.

Aflac ‘has nowhere else to go’.

It’s either going to break higher and continue the rally from the spring set-up or reverse down hard, back into the channel (not advice, not a recommendation).

The outlier, it does nothing, goes sideways.

However, with stories like this breaking by the day, if not the hour, doing ‘nothing’ appears to be low probability.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Nvidia Wedge Breakdown

September 10, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, NVDA, Ox Talks, Semiconductors

While Delays Mount

While Ox Talks reports on mounting delays in the A.I. ‘narrative’, link here, chief cook and bottle washer Nvidia, appears ready to breakdown out of a wedge (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Airbnb and Bonds (divergence)

August 26, 2026 By in ABNB, ABNB-26-05, Bonds, Elliott Wave, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Ox Talks, Real Estate, YouTube Black Swan 1 Comment

A Lot, All at Once

Potential shock ahead.

That’s one way to describe what could happen via ‘Looking for Black Swans’, with the chart provided by Elliott Wave International.

Ruh, Roh

Adding some more chaos to the situation, is this.

What’s going to happen when ‘fiddling’ doesn’t work; when everyone figures out the emperor has no clothes?

Airbnb ABNB, Daily

ABNB surged on earnings with a gap higher, wide price bar, and heavy volume.

It then posted several weeks of congestion which at this juncture, looks like a terminating wedge.

Short position located as shown (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Chubb Hangs On … How Long?

August 22, 2026 By in CB, Insurance, Life Insurance, Moby Dick, Ox Talks, Property Insurance

At The Edge

Events are unfolding rapidly.

The insurance sector, specifically life insurance (so far), is the whale under the surface (not advice, not a recommendation).

While Chubb Corp’s not life insurance, it’s the close cousin, property insurance.

Unlike the banks as pointed out at this link, if there’s trouble, there’s unlikely to be a bailout.

Chubb Corp. CB, Daily Close

We may find out on Monday, if CB is, or is not, following the down trendline (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana Tomorrow?

August 19, 2026 By in CVNA, Interest Rates, Ox Talks, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Fibonacci, Day 5

Tomorrow is Fibonacci Day 5 for Carvana from the most recent up-thrust high.

The low (yesterday), was Fibonacci Day 3.

With that, we have two schools of thought.

Lower interest rates may (help) boost CVNA to the upper resistance boundary (dashed blue line), penetrating, creating a larger up-thrust condition.

Or tomorrow, is the test of the breakdown (then lower).

If that’s the case, it does not matter how low rates go, the economy is in a swan dive (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Allstate’s ‘Day 13’

August 13, 2026 By in ALL, Artificial Intelligence, Insurance, Moby Dick, Ox Talks

Tomorrow, Friday

Will tomorrow post a new daily high for ALL, and make it an even thirteen?

For that matter, why focus on (boring) insurance, anyway?

Probably, the best answer can be found here and here.

Many are focused on precious metals, bonds and the A.I. bubble.

Not a bad thing in itself.

However, behind the scenes, insurance companies are lumbering like The Great White Whale.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Must Watch Video

August 11, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Ox Talks, Semiconductors

Demarcation Line

In the realm of the surreal, we have this.

Ox Talks gives an update on the latest psychosis concerning funding related to A.I.

All-of-a-sudden, for the first time in history, semiconductors, the chips themselves, are ‘investible assets’; time stamp: 3:08, in the link (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279