Alignment Of The Bears
“Volatility Is Good”
Volatility cauterizes the emotions. It reveals the market extremes and shows each player’s hand; bulls and bears.
With the market just opened we’re going to look at gold’s last man standing: Newmont Mining.
‘Last man standing’ because, except for two equities far down in Senior Miner’s GDX, no one is anywhere near their mid-November highs.
The take on this: The gold market’s thinning out and ready to reverse.
A really big move
It’s easy to get lost and hypnotized with the day-to-day action. However, by pulling back, one sees the potential for a massive short (the market) opportunity (not advice, not a recommendation).
Implosion Effects: Broker Platforms Go Inoperative
Over and again, nearly each time there’s a big down move in the markets, where the Dow may lose 1,000 points or more, brokerage platforms seize up.
It happens so often; it’s probably best to incorporate it into one’s trading approach.
That’s one of the reasons, if not the main reason to work the short side (not advice, not a recommendation).
Newmont’s Short Clues
The volatility has exposed everybody’s hand on both side of the trade. That’s the good part.
We’ll touch on each technical event separately, starting with the unmarked daily chart:
First off, markets that have wide, high-volume bars, tend to come back and test that bar. We see it below:
Next, price action’s got itself into a terminating wedge; a potential bearish reversal pattern:
Then, we have today as Fibonacci Day 34, from the December 2nd, reversal low.
As this post is being created, NEM just made a new daily high; potentially culminating its wedge terminating move.
Big Fish, Little Hook
As Dr. Elder has said concerning stop placement, ‘You can’t catch a big fish with a little hook’.
So, we have GLD, GDX and GDXJ, in a November bull trap (up-thrust), with what looks like two-months of price action to come back and test.
If that assessment’s correct and it took two months just for a test, whatever happens next, may be on the order of years to resolve itself.
From a trade standpoint, it looks like today’s low in JDST, current open position, JDST-22-01, may be a good place for a stop (not advice, not a recommendation).
After Newmont posted a new daily high, it’s currently trading below yesterday’s close.
We have the usual hysteria in the gold market but this time, deflationary forces may be overtaking the manic gold bulls.
Case in point:
Existing home sales look like they’re rolling over. All kinds of excuses being made about lack of inventory and the imaginary ‘Speck’ with its new variant.
The one thing not imaginary about The Speck, is this report about what’s really going on.
Massive ‘depopulation’, is deflationary.
Charts by StockCharts
Note: Posts on this site are for education purposes only. They provide one firm’s insight on the markets. Not investment advice. See additional disclaimer here.
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