Fuel & Trucking Disruption

That’s what can be expected from the Moving Forward Act.

Before we get started with any chart analysis, it’s important to note in the link above, submittal date for the bill was June 11, 2020; a full six months before ‘inauguration’.

Like the CARES Act (Speck relief bill) was submitted nine months before there was an outbreak in the far east, (the ‘relief’ bill was in the works for years), the Moving Forward Act was already making its way through committee long before the change in administration.

Just a short digression on CARES. Accessing the link above, one finds the original submittal date (January 2019, nine months before the outbreak) is nowhere to be found. History being scrubbed and re-written in real time.

Systematic destruction of the nation’s infrastructure is the plan; but the real target remains the food supply.

How does this knowledge help with Oil & Gas Sector analysis?

Supply disruptions could cause fuel prices (USO as proxy) to go higher while at the same time, drillers and producers go lower (XOP as proxy).

XOP chart analysis identified a potential set-up in this report.

That has proved correct thus far. Knowledge of the overall plan (supply disruption/destruction) lets us know the sector most likely is not coming back … not anytime soon.

Shorting XOP via DUG (not advice, not a recommendation) by repeatedly entering and exiting as required, could be a go-forward plan for months or years to come.

Looking at inverse fund DUG, the entry is shown. Price action retreated (testing) for two trading days before continuing on with its reversal.

It’s early in the move but there’s a potential trend line.

For inverse funds, trends in the hundreds or thousands of percent (annualized) are not unusual.

If the trend is maintained, a 100% gain on the position would occur right about the middle of April.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Plan

The image below may be the best descriptor of the (economic) plan going forward. Full (forced) compliance won’t be achieved until every vestige of small-business (Mom & Pop) is destroyed.

On the bright side, at least we know what’s coming.

The near instant, within hours fracking about face, could be used as the economic model; destroy everything and do it quickly.

Self employment (S-Corp of one) may or may not be the ultimate answer. One thing it might do, is offer more time for maneuvering. That’s critical when ‘speck’ injectors show up at large firms and force everyone into line.

With that in mind, two sectors have been the focus as opportunities for short positions.

Oil & Gas, XOP and real estate, IYR.

There are others like gold with GDX down again in the pre-market … thus confirming a bearish trend.

It could wind up that shorting GDX was the best option.

However, since there’s such rabid indoctrination into the hyper-inflation theme, it could be a bumpy road to the bottom … the exact worst thing for an inverse ETF.

Those trading vehicles prefer straight down action. Otherwise, they erode (value) quickly.

Analysis of the Oil & Gas sector was covered just recently, right along with identifying a reversal. XOP is down again in the pre-market with DUG up.

The short position in DUG is being maintained (not advice, not a recommendation) with chart analysis to come over the weekend.

Real estate, IYR shows a lower open as well.

Going short this one (via DRV) has been more time consuming. As IYR heads lower after an apparent false breakout (Wyckoff up-thrust), increasing the line (position size) is the objective; not advice, not a recommendation.

Depending on today’s price action, chart analysis on IYR and DRV will be forthcoming.

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Fact vs. Fiction

Two reports discussing the exact same topic, are linked here and here.

One of the reports is fact; the other is fiction.

Just two minutes, and twenty-eight seconds into one of those, the fairly tale begins.

The other has its head on straight and is on-target with truth; a disturbing truth.

Alas, the hyper-inflation narrative runs deep. Comments from the last Van Metre report shows just how deep the rabbit hole goes.

We’ll paraphrase:

‘GDX filled the downward gap … metals to skyrocket higher’.

With every day that passes, we see truth of what comes first; as reported here, it’s corn first, then gold & silver.

Putting it differently; seed producers can’t keep up with demand.

At least one supplier linked here, is shut down … temporarily they say because of huge order backlog.

Interesting their planed re-open, is for the 20th. We’ll see if that happens.

Way back in April last year in at least one state, it was illegal to buy seeds. That same scenario never happened with precious metals.

Are the coin dealers shut down? Precious metals may indeed become important at some future date. However, at this juncture it’s easy to hypothesize you won’t be able to buy or sell without ‘speck’ protection.

Getting that protection essentially makes being around to see (or function in) the future a moot point; doesn’t it?

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Night Before Christmas

‘Twas the night before Christmas and all through the house, not a coward was stirring, not even a mouse.

They all had their masks, hiding in fear, in hopes the vax they heard about, soon would be here.

Jumping up in nightclothes and getting in line, they all got injected and then went Flat-Line.

When what to my amazement should appear, it was the “expert” doctor saying, it’s all in good cheer.

As the doc ate the cookies that had been left near, he said I just Vaxxed Santa, so he could be here.

But to my amazement, as the doc went on his way, I saw ‘ol Saint Nick a dead on his sleigh.

Not to worry fair cowards, all in good cheer, just put your mask on, go live in fear.

For those who are brave we all know the tale.  The brave die once only, and are forever regaled.

For the mask wearing cowards who die every day, we bid you farewell, to sleep on the hay.

Yes it’s the hay in the train, we’ve all seen the scene, of boxcars and all, it’s just a bad dream.

Now, the train’s at the camp, the showers are there, herding the mask wearers into their lair.

Sleep soundly you cowards, sleep with your mask. Sleep soundly, sleep soundly;

Go, get your Vax.

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Hyperinflation Gone Wrong

There’s something very wrong with the “hyperinflation” narrative.

The gold miners GDX can’t even get to a full 38% retrace level without collapsing.

Price action has negated the targets from the prior update

It should be clear at this point, a monstrous 5,600 page, so-called stimulus package is not inflationary.

For an irreverent look at what’s in that bill, reference “Salty Cracker”.

By the way, just how long does it take to write 5,600 pages?  A couple of years, maybe?

Probably as much time as it took to write the original CARES Act … which was submitted (put in committee) to Congress during January 2019 … a full nine months before anyone even heard of the “speck” in Wuhan.

The inference is, both of these bills were planned long ago and have been in the works for years.

Which brings us to gold and the miners.

The hourly chart of GDX shows two wide bars in today’s session. The 35.00 – 35.50, area is support that may stop the down move for now.

Wide price bars usually get tested.  Today’s action (as of 1:34 p.m. EST) shows GDX is moving quickly.

Expectation now, is for GDX price action to test the wide bars.  That could take hours or days … or not at all.

If there is a test, the most likely stopping point is yesterday’s low at GDX, 36.18

In other markets, the short position in XOP (via DUG) is being maintained.  Stop has been moved to DUG, 26.63; not advice, not a recommendation.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Big Money, Big Move

The big money is in the big move. 

One recent example; the bond move from late 2018, to early 2020.

During the low from October 2018 to November that year, were reports of professionals opening huge long positions. 

At the time and as the weeks went by, it appeared that nothing was happening. 

The delay would have caused the typical i-phone addicted ‘tweeter’ to lose interest many times over.

When it finally took off, bonds staged a huge directional move that lasted over a year.

Such moves are rare and require the ability to wait. Wait to get in and wait for the move; minimize transactions.

Each market transaction is an opportunity for error.  Minimize the transactions and by definition, the errors are minimized as well.

That brings us to oil and more specifically, XOP and DUG.

The nonsense being promulgated by the financial press is that oil is moving higher on ‘hopes’ for an economic recovery.

Maybe injecting the world-wide population with potentially DNA altering technology (not even tested on animals first) for an ailment that does not exist will miraculously launch some kind of pent up consumer demand.

No matter. Oil and its attendants keep moving higher with the dollar moving lower.

Even with anecdotal evidence from an Oklahoma oil field worker (commenting on a Van Metre update) that was later confirmed by the EIA report did not cause oil to move lower … yet.

That is, until today.

The dollar attempted to continue its downtrend yesterday.  Oil spiked as did XOP to the upside and DUG to the downside.

This morning is a different story.  Dollar proxy, UUP is trading (pre-market) right at its highs of the last session in an apparent reversal. 

Oil along with XOP is down, with DUG up.

Looking at XOP, we see it’s hitting a long-established trend line. 

With the dollar, bond, and overall market extremes, no recovery in sight and more probable, another (and complete) collapse; this may be the spot (not advice, not a recommendation) to position for medium to long term on the short side.

That’s exactly what the firm has done.  Looks like our position was a day too early as we sat through yesterday’ spike lower in DUG.

Volume remained heavy for that DUG session. Weekly volume is looking to be the largest (big-money moving in) since at least 2015.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Meanwhile, Back at The Ranch

It’s full speed ahead with ‘the speck’… well it’s actually ‘Warp Speed’ ahead, isn’t it?

Just what is the definition of ‘warp speed’? This link defines it as traveling faster than the speed of light. 

Therefore, if we’re going faster than light, that light can not expose the darkness, the evil. It’s by design.

19 And this is the condemnation, that light is come into the world, and men loved darkness rather than light, because their deeds were evil.

20 For every one that doeth evil hateth the light, neither cometh to the light, lest his deeds should be reproved.

21 But he that doeth truth cometh to the light, that his deeds may be made manifest, that they are wrought in God.

John 13: 19  – 21

By accessing this site, you’re either ‘awake’, about to become awake, or will run away from this site and the battlefield itself.

We’re not on YouTube, not on BitChute or any other video platform … we’re way down on the censorship food chain.

That’s part of the plan.

Stay out of the corporate arena and below the radar.

It’s easy (and low cost) to force a half-million corporate employees to get tested (with false positive) and then subject them to receive the cure.

Tracking down every individual, doing the same, is more difficult and more importantly, much more expensive.

Remember THX-1138?  The cost of capturing THX, exceeded the budget allowed.  He escapes to freedom.

That’s a long pre-amble to get to the markets at hand … however, it does provide context. 

The markets are part of the battlefield.

How else will wealth be confiscated (as is already happening) so the masses are brought to their knees and forced into submission?

Looking at what’s going on while the Thanksgiving, mask on, mask off, and legal proceedings rage, we have the senior gold miners, GDX.

Steven Van Metre, in his Sunday update mentions the GDX at time stamp 7:40, and the dollar at time stamp 14:50.  At this point, their movements are counter cyclical.

Currently, at 11:41 a.m., EST, the senior minors, GDX, have broken lower hard … down -3.81% so far.

At this point, it’s now obvious they are heading lower … and fast.

Unfortunately and probably unwittingly, gold bulls and followers that went all-in, positioning long, were played as the useful idiots.

Sure, gold and the miners (if they aren’t nationalized) will rally.  Only, it’s likely the herd won’t be part of it.    

They could be wiped out by then … their ‘stacks’ of gold and silver used instead to pay mortgages, service margin calls and to buy (real) food.

It’s by design.

What a brutal environment.  That’s for sure.

Looking at the chart of GDX, we see the break lower. 

It has made a new daily low and thus our stop in the inverse find DUST (not advice, not a recommendation) is moved up to DUST:  20.31.

Gold and the miners are leading the way down.  We have executed Wyckoff analysis correctly by identifying the weakest market; the one most susceptible to move lower (first) in a bear market.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Make It Stop

The gold bulls are trapped and the market is eroding away. 

The weekly chart of GLD (farther down), shows this past week was the opportunity for GLD to move higher.

It didn’t happen. 

Some of the YouTube sites that are monitored, have caught on something’s very wrong with the bullish picture. 

However, there are literally millions positioned (or at least thinking) on one side of the trade. Without neural plasticity to switch gears and re-position, at low risk no less, the pain is likely to be severe.

The same goes for the overall market. 

Steven Van Metre, in his Friday update stated, ‘retail investors are all-in at the highest level in market history’.

Yet he says, the market did not move significantly higher.  That’s the clue.  It’s likely we’ve seen the highs.

There’s more middle class destruction on the way with shutdowns and restrictions; all under the guise of the speck.   

If the speck is so bad, where are the bodies?

Take a trip to your local graveyard … you’ll probably find the caretaker asleep on his back-hoe … waiting like the Maytag repairman.

There are no bodies except for the odd duffer that died while on a ventilator … ah yes, the ventilator, that topic is for another time. 

Those flexible enough, the entrepreneurs, picked up on this scenario long ago and have responded accordingly. 

The only way out is self-employment; separate from the crowd.  Even that’s no guarantee but at least it provides some time and flexibility.

Getting back to the markets, we see the S&P and Dow at their highs (possibly topping-out) while gold and the miners have already rolled over. 

Senior miner index GDX, has now posted an outside down (key reversal) on the monthly chart. 

We have one more trading week to go (plus one day), but it’s likely the key reversal will stick.

As always, even with the lower action just passed, upward movement next week (if any) could happen but it’s likely to be halting and laborious.

If the overall markets head lower, the uneducated public once again and by their own actions, have set the stage for their financial destruction. 

Only this time, it’s over.  There will be no recovery.

As the downturn sets in and jobs continue to disappear, the calls to ‘make it stop’ will become ever so shrill. 

The masses will be desperate enough to line up for government assistance and allow (even beg for) the catch … be injected first; No matter who is in office.

There’s a reason, professional, seasoned hard as nails (even profane) market traders are quoting Biblical scripture.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Revelation 6:6

When a stock market trader starts quoting Revelation, you know it’s bad or about to get that way.

That’s what we have here (time stamp 14:20) where David Dubyne and Bob Kudla discuss a variety of events but mainly, the world’s food supply.

“And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, A measure of wheat for a penny, and three measures of barley for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine.” Revelation 6:6

This site has presented in past updates sufficient data to show the nation’s food supply is being systematically dismantled via at least two avenues.

First:

Naturally occurring disasters are intensified (or outright created) by weather manipulation. 

Second:

The planting and harvesting infrastructure is being intentionally disrupted or dismantled by what this site has termed ‘the speck’.

By now, anyone accessing these posts should know what the (imaginary) speck is and it’s even discussed in the above links. The press (financial and mainstream) talk about the speck incessantly.

Put the lie out there long enough and eventually it will become belief.

Back to the markets and more specifically, CORN

CORN was a trade that was entered by the firm but then decided the look was not right and exited at essentially break-even.  That trade was entered right around the area that’s now labeled as a 38% retrace level.

The trade would have been modestly profitable but it’s not what we’re looking for. What we’re looking for may be yet to come.

The 38%, retrace level is now well established support and if penetrated by subsequent price action would generate a reversal condition known as a Wyckoff spring.

Shown on the chart as well, is the wide high-volume price bar that’s right in the middle of the 50%, retrace level.

This is where it gets interesting.  Markets behave in such a way as to come back to high volume areas for a test.

If somehow, CORN retraces to this level for a test of the wide bar, it will automatically set-up a spring (reversal) condition by penetrating price action at the 38% level.

Our edge in this situation, are the bullet items discussed above.  The entire world’s food supply is in jeopardy.  That’s a known fact.

Crops are failing world-wide.  Weather patterns are erratic and manipulated. 

Knowing this provides a fundamental backdrop that should CORN retrace to test the wide bar, it’s not likely to stay there long.

In addition, if CORN reaches the 50% area, it may never come back to those levels.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.