Dollar Divergence

9:51 a.m., EST

Everyone loves to hate the dollar.

That sentiment extreme is a set-up … for the bulls.

If the UUP dollar index ETF, manages to push below the 24.00 – level, it presents the opportunity for a significant bullish divergence.

As Van Metre has stated many times over the past few months, the market’s not expecting, and not in position for a dollar rally.

How can it be … with the rabid gold bulls thrashing about with each upward blip in GLD, GDX and GDXJ.

From this site’s perspective, we’re staying away from that (gold) market and have focused on biotech … where things are really getting underway; but now, back to the dollar.

The weekly chart of UUP, shows the potential set-up.

If somehow we get a (narrow range) push below the 24-level, it would set up a clear bullish divergence on the MACD.

At this point, anything can happen.

Saying that gold will crash if the dollar launches upward is certainly possible. However, in today’s world, the opposite could happen as well.

Just one more reason to say away and focus on shorting an index that’s decisively moving lower: Biotech (not advice, not a recommendation).

Side Note:

The whole ‘divorce’ thing, you know what I’m talking about, could be a signal in disguise.

The ‘higher ups’ may have decided our cardigan wearing benefactor has reached the end of usefulness.

If so, how many biotech rats are now going to jump ship (before the paddy wagon arrives) knowing the jig is up?

Could that be why SPBIO, posted new lows in five time-frames; Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly and Yearly, last week?

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

One response

  1. Pingback: Gold at Pivot « The Danger Point

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