Category Archives: Semiconductors

Terminating Wedge … TXN

February 17, 2026 By in Semiconductors, Artificial Intelligence, Up-Thrust, TXN, TXN-26-05 Leave a comment

Struggling, Above Resistance

Once TXN pushed past resistance, upward net distance has slowed.

Daily close chart, at left.

Now, we’re near all time highs.

For the session, price action printed higher but could not close higher (not advice, not a recommendation).

Prior updates on TXN, are here and here.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Entegris … Divergence

February 16, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, ENTG, Semiconductors, Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Fibonacci, and MACD

Entegris reported earnings last week, on the tenth.

Market response was to launch into and up-thrust condition along with hitting the top of a terminating wedge, as well as printing a Fibonacci 161.8%, projection.

Technical details (up-thrust, removed for clarity) are shown on the daily chart below.

Entegris Inc., ENTG Daily

We’re looking for a new daily low at the next session (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Lattice Semi, At The Edge

February 15, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, LSCC, LSCC-26-01, Semiconductors, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Another, ‘Repeating’ Pattern

Lattice broke out to all-time highs on its latest earnings; here, here and here.

If you believe the press, it’s ‘buy’, ‘buy’, ‘buy’ (not advice, not a recommendation).

If we look at the actual truth, the price action, we (potentially) see something else.

The chart below, shows we’re at The Danger Point®, where it won’t take much to go either way.

Lattice Semiconductor LSCC, Daily Close

At this point, LSCC is in ‘up-thrust’ position.

Being at that location, does not guarantee a reversal.

It says, we’re at the point of instability. Price action needs to decide who’s in control, bulls or bears.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

At The Edge …

February 6, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Semiconductors, SOXX, TXN, TXN-26-02, TXN-26-03 1 Comment

Stretched, at All-Time Highs

We’re looking for The Danger Point®, where the risk (of being wrong) is least (not advice, not a recommendation).

This method applies to going long as well as short:

Buy or sell (short) at the edge.

Looking at the chart of Texas Instruments, you’ll have to judge for yourself if we’re at that edge.

Texas Instruments TXN, Daily Close (12:37 p.m., EST)

Using the data from yesterday’s update, link here, we’re at a point that could get very interesting.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

TXN … Dotcom Then, A.I., Now

February 5, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Michael Bordenaro, Semiconductors, SOXX, TXN, TXN-26-02 2 Comments

Once, in a Generation

Michael Bordenaro’s latest update, had this in the comment section (paraphrasing):

‘It’s likely, few people realize how far this is going to go, and how long it’s going to last.’

With that said, we’ll look at a once-in-a-generation event, Texas Instruments.

Not since the height of the dot-com mania, has there been a repeat of the indicator shown below.

Texas Instruments TXN, Monthly

Two massive Force Index spikes, a generation apart.

In the dotcom mania, the spike was not the top; that came a month later.

For the A.I. mania, TXN posted its spike last month (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana Launches, After-Hours

December 6, 2025 By in AMZN, AMZN-25-01, APP, Artificial Intelligence, CVNA, HOOD, NVDA, S&P, S&P 500, Semiconductors, SOXX, Wyckoff Tags: , , , ,

To be Part of S&P

Now we know the reason for nine-straight higher closes.

Wyckoff said a century ago:

‘Somebody always knows something’

That ‘something‘, then, shows up on the tape.

Inclusion in the S&P notwithstanding, ‘fundamentals’ for Carvana have not changed.

Here’s a recent report on what’s happening behind the scenes. Note: In the comments section, one reply suggests the assessment of CVNA is ‘overblown’, ‘dramatized’.

From a Wyckoff analysis standpoint, it doesn’t matter.

The tape itself will let us know, if or when there’s a change of character (not advice, not a recommendation).

Carvana CVNA, Daily

After-hours high, was 450.00

Just in the past four months, APP, HOOD, and now, CVNA have been included in the S&P.

At this point, we have the following:

APP is being investigated by the SEC.

CVNA, has ‘interesting’ numbers, currently being sued with class-action, questioning the core fundamentals.

Let’s not forget, several years ago, HOOD has its own class action resulting from their platform lockups.

Other ‘Fundamentals’

For those watching, the SOXX is at (or near) all-time highs.

We would expect Nvidia to be the leader (as it has done), but it’s lagging, still below its earnings release peak.

Looking at Amazon, proxy for the ‘consumer’, last year from October lows, to highs in December, Amazon posted a solid +29.3% gain.

This year, it’s completely different.

Amazon posted all-time highs that were quickly reversed.

From the lows of October 17th to Friday’s close AMZN is only up 8.77% and appears to be in a downward channel (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Trading Intel’s Downside

December 5, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, Semiconductors, SOXX

Will Today be a Test?

Fridays are typically biased to the upside.

With the overall semiconductor index higher in the pre-market, it’s possible INTC could use today to grind its way higher into a test (not advice, not a recommendation).

The chart shows we’ve had an up-thrust (reversal), then a -7.45% drop (ease-of-movement) to minor support levels.

intel INTC, Daily

The blue-line, resistance, is also the 50% retrace from highs of January 2020 to the lows of April, this year.

The objective is to see if the range narrows (upside) between yesterday’s low and high, for a short position (not advice, not a recommendation).

In the pre-market (7:40 a.m., EST), INTC is trading slightly higher (+0.46) pts).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Nvidia’s Downside Channel

December 1, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, NVDA, Semiconductors, SOXX, Wyckoff

If, The Bubble Has Burst …

The case is building for Nvidia’s downside reversal; this morning’s pre-market action, is no exception (not advice not a recommendation).

With the caveat that anything can happen, we have in the chart below, nascent confirmation(s) of a downside channel.

Nvidia NVDA, Daily

Within the channel, we’re also in Wyckoff Spring position (testing support), ready to move higher.

However, springs can fail.

If Nivida opens lower in the regular session (currently, 8:05 a.m., EST), ‘normal’ market behavior is an attempt to close the gap (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Nvidia … Euphoria to Anxiety

November 26, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, NVDA, Semiconductors

Grinding Lower

It’s been a Fibonacci 21-trading days since Nvidia’s all-time high.

As of today in the pre-market, we’re down -16.5% from those highs.

Of course, anything can happen and NVDA could recover.

However, as presented in this post, if you’ve ‘sold-out’, then what’s next?

Nvidia NVDA, Daily Close

Lower lows, lower highs; the definition of a downtrend (not advice not a recommendation).

The downtrend can end at any time.

For that to be apparent (at this juncture), NVDA will need to close above the high of this past Monday, at 182.55.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

SOXX, Watch

November 24, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, CVNA, Semiconductors, SOXX

Carvana, as Well

It’s possible by the close of the day, both SOXX, and CVNA, will be in up-thrust (potential reversal) position.

As of this post (11:10 a.m., EST), the SOXX is literally screaming higher … but still below resistance levels.

As for Carvana, the 332.33 level has been discussed many times, link here and here.

A close above that level puts CVNA in up-thrust position (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279