Category Archives: Artificial Intelligence

TXN … Dotcom Then, A.I., Now

February 5, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Michael Bordenaro, Semiconductors, SOXX, TXN, TXN-26-02 2 Comments

Once, in a Generation

Michael Bordenaro’s latest update, had this in the comment section (paraphrasing):

‘It’s likely, few people realize how far this is going to go, and how long it’s going to last.’

With that said, we’ll look at a once-in-a-generation event, Texas Instruments.

Not since the height of the dot-com mania, has there been a repeat of the indicator shown below.

Texas Instruments TXN, Monthly

Two massive Force Index spikes, a generation apart.

In the dotcom mania, the spike was not the top; that came a month later.

For the A.I. mania, TXN posted its spike last month (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

TE Connectivity … Breakdown

February 4, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, TEL, TEL-26-01

Massive Wedge Throw-Over

The last update on TEL, was over six months ago, link here.

The chart in that update showed a massive long-term wedge.

At the time, price action was right at the upper boundary.

What came next, was an apparent ‘throw-over’ that’s lasted six months (not advice, not recommendation).

If price action declines decisively back into the wedge, we’ll discuss measured move(s) at that time.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Palantir … After Hours

February 2, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, PLTR

Straight into Resistance

Palantir released earnings after the bell, link here.

The magenta line shows how the ‘good news’ is being received.

As of this post (6:40 p.m., EST) price action is in a narrow range, hitting the underside of resistance, near a downtrend line (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Corning’s Glass Ceiling

February 1, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, GLW, GLW-26-01

Last Gasp?

If you believe the financial press, link here, then we’re in the clear for Corning as it’s part of the A.I. mania.

Throw in some analyst ‘buy’ ratings and it’s good to go. 🙂

If we actually look at the truth, the price action itself, it may be telling us something different (not advice, not a recommendation).

Corning GLW, Monthly

All-time highs, link here.

The long-term perspective shows us it took nearly a generation for GLW to get back to ‘dotcom’ levels.

In fact, the news release in the first link above, resulted in the gap-higher straight into decades long resistance.

Now, you have to ask yourself: “Do you feel lucky?”

Is GLW, somehow going to miraculously push through (and hold) that resistance of many years, on just one attempt?

In the markets, anything can happen.

Next up and depending on price action, we’ll look at the daily chart.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Viva Las Vegas!

January 8, 2026 By in 2007 - 2008, Artificial Intelligence, S&P, S&P 500, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust, ZeroHedge

Well, Not Really

It’s no secret the ‘consumer’ is up against a wall.

FRED links for various forms of debt are here, here and here.

Then, we have this just out from ZeroHedge; wide disparity between bonds and the market.

Original website, link here.

Paraphrasing from that link:

‘Expect to see an equity crash that will rival or surpass any seen before.’

We’ve all been hearing that for a long time. Are we close?

Well, some sectors are already rolling over.

The focus (on this site) for a while, has been ‘consumer discretionary’ and related.

Yesterday, was DoorDash. Today, is Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Sands LVS, Monthly

During the last melt-down, LVS cratered over -99%.

The monthly chart shows the potential.

At present, we have a repeating pattern: Spring to Up-Thrust (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CrowdStrike … Tests Breakdown

December 19, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, CAT, CRWD, Ox Talks 1 Comment

Similar to Caterpillar

Our favorite chief, cook, and bottle washer of the negative P/E, currently standing at -379, is about the same as the last update.

The difference from then, is that price action has got itself into a potential test of a wedge breakdown.

Ever since the ‘update glitch‘ wipeout, it’s never been the same for CRWD.

CrowdStrike CRWD, Daily Close

Yesterday’s action closed higher. So far today, trading is continuing the move.

It’s important to note that volume is not remarkable; meaning, the last high-volume day was at the earnings release on December 2nd, and 3rd.

Unlike CAT, in the prior update, we don’t have a decisive indicator (volume) for a trend break (not advice, not a recommendation).

It’s as if CRWD, is banging around (with low volume), trying to find a direction.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Caterpillar (CAT) Breakdown

December 18, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, CAT, Edward Dowd 2 Comments

Trend Break … Then Test

There’s more than one way to position for the A.I. and ‘datacenter’ implosion.

As Ed Dowd stated in a recent interview, (paraphrasing):

‘Once the unwind starts, it’s going to happen fast.’

With the CAT trend break, we may be there, at the ‘unwind’ (not advice, not a recommendation).

Caterpillar CAT, Daily

If CAT manages to close higher for the day, it will be Fibonacci Day 5, from the all-time highs.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana Launches, After-Hours

December 6, 2025 By in AMZN, AMZN-25-01, APP, Artificial Intelligence, CVNA, HOOD, NVDA, S&P, S&P 500, Semiconductors, SOXX, Wyckoff Tags: , , , ,

To be Part of S&P

Now we know the reason for nine-straight higher closes.

Wyckoff said a century ago:

‘Somebody always knows something’

That ‘something‘, then, shows up on the tape.

Inclusion in the S&P notwithstanding, ‘fundamentals’ for Carvana have not changed.

Here’s a recent report on what’s happening behind the scenes. Note: In the comments section, one reply suggests the assessment of CVNA is ‘overblown’, ‘dramatized’.

From a Wyckoff analysis standpoint, it doesn’t matter.

The tape itself will let us know, if or when there’s a change of character (not advice, not a recommendation).

Carvana CVNA, Daily

After-hours high, was 450.00

Just in the past four months, APP, HOOD, and now, CVNA have been included in the S&P.

At this point, we have the following:

APP is being investigated by the SEC.

CVNA, has ‘interesting’ numbers, currently being sued with class-action, questioning the core fundamentals.

Let’s not forget, several years ago, HOOD has its own class action resulting from their platform lockups.

Other ‘Fundamentals’

For those watching, the SOXX is at (or near) all-time highs.

We would expect Nvidia to be the leader (as it has done), but it’s lagging, still below its earnings release peak.

Looking at Amazon, proxy for the ‘consumer’, last year from October lows, to highs in December, Amazon posted a solid +29.3% gain.

This year, it’s completely different.

Amazon posted all-time highs that were quickly reversed.

From the lows of October 17th to Friday’s close AMZN is only up 8.77% and appears to be in a downward channel (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Trading Intel’s Downside

December 5, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, Semiconductors, SOXX

Will Today be a Test?

Fridays are typically biased to the upside.

With the overall semiconductor index higher in the pre-market, it’s possible INTC could use today to grind its way higher into a test (not advice, not a recommendation).

The chart shows we’ve had an up-thrust (reversal), then a -7.45% drop (ease-of-movement) to minor support levels.

intel INTC, Daily

The blue-line, resistance, is also the 50% retrace from highs of January 2020 to the lows of April, this year.

The objective is to see if the range narrows (upside) between yesterday’s low and high, for a short position (not advice, not a recommendation).

In the pre-market (7:40 a.m., EST), INTC is trading slightly higher (+0.46) pts).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Amazon ‘Tests’ Reversal

December 4, 2025 By in AMZN, Artificial Intelligence

Potential Channel

It’s possible, ‘All the King’s horses and all the King’s men won’t be able to put Amazon back together again’ (not advice, not a recommendation)

Amazon posted all-time highs on earnings coupled with so-called A.I. (efficiency) gains; labeled as ‘Up-Thrust’.

Then it collapsed, -17% before coming back to test resistance (blue line).

Then, it reversed (down) again.

Note: ‘Test’ was Fibonacci 21 Days, from all-time highs.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279