Category Archives: INTC

Intel … After The Open

April 8, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, INTC-26-03, NVDA, NVDA-26-01, Semiconductors, Spring-to-Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Set-Up & Go

The set-up in Intel (INTC) is more than just ‘selling the rip’.

We have a repeating pattern with a high expectation.

Meaning, the probabilities of a reversal to the downside with this type of set-up is greater than 50% chance (not advice, not a recommendation).

As of this update (11:10 a.m., EST) INTC has decisively penetrated support and is now hovering at that level.

What’s missing in the way of confirmation is either a reversal bar today, or a new daily low during tomorrow’s session.

Intel INTC, Daily

With the mega-cap Nvidia almost instantly retracing its opening highs, it may be leading the pack lower.

If that’s the case, the entire sector is at risk of following NVDA to the downside (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The Intel ‘Set-Up’

April 8, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, Semiconductors, Spring-to-Up-Thrust Leave a comment

Repeating Pattern

If intel (INTC) opens at the level shown (magenta arrow), it’s going to post a new daily high, above January 22nd high.

Doing that, would put INTC in ‘up-thrust‘ position (not advice not a recommendation).

Intel INTC, Daily

Today’s open will be Fibonacci 55-Days (-2) from the January 22nd high.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Trading Intel’s Downside

December 5, 2025 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, Semiconductors, SOXX

Will Today be a Test?

Fridays are typically biased to the upside.

With the overall semiconductor index higher in the pre-market, it’s possible INTC could use today to grind its way higher into a test (not advice, not a recommendation).

The chart shows we’ve had an up-thrust (reversal), then a -7.45% drop (ease-of-movement) to minor support levels.

intel INTC, Daily

The blue-line, resistance, is also the 50% retrace from highs of January 2020 to the lows of April, this year.

The objective is to see if the range narrows (upside) between yesterday’s low and high, for a short position (not advice, not a recommendation).

In the pre-market (7:40 a.m., EST), INTC is trading slightly higher (+0.46) pts).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Top Tick & Top

November 4, 2024 By in 1929, Dow 30, Great Depression 2.0, INTC, NVDA

Contrary Indicators

Intel (INTC) added to the Dow Jones on November 1st, 1999.

Intel (to be) removed from the Dow Jones on November 7th, 2024.

Replacing Intel, we have (surprise), Nvidia, who could have guessed. 🙂

Meanwhile, back at the ranch, Buffett’s selling; not like it’s 1999, but more like it’s 1929.

Sentiment Indicators

Adding Nvidia, removing Intel, could be contrary indicators and potential (near) top-tick for NVDA (not advice, not a recommendation).

Buffett, an indicator of his own, marking the (potential) market top itself with his massive selling (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The End For AI?

September 1, 2023 By in Artificial Intelligence, INTC, Positions, SOXS, SOXX

Failing Breakout & Fibonacci

Could AI, become a Dog?

That’s not saying AI, ‘identifies’ as a dog, but AI becomes a market dog, a massive underperformer.

You know, like Intel 🙂

Yesterday’s update said to be on the lookout for a reversal.

The SOXX, was struggling to move above resistance and if it failed, we’re likely to head lower from here (not advice, not a recommendation).

At this juncture (11:40 a.m., EST) the SOXX, posted a new daily high but is currently trading below yesterday’s close.

Semiconductor SOXX, Daily

The chart shows the struggle to get above the resistance area (blue line).

The chart also shows we’re at a Fibonacci 89 Days, from the low set on April 27th, to now.

Positioning

The initial position from yesterday was exited in the pre-market as SOXS touched the 9.05, Stop Level.

After the open, it was obvious we may have hit the SOXS lows (at 8.97) and are now going to move higher.

Re-entered at SOXS 9.19, with Hard Stop at session lows of SOXS 8.97 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

When The ‘Dog’ Barks

July 27, 2023 By in INTC, Positions, Semiconductors, SOXS, SOXX

Intel (INTC) Up, In After-Hours

After-hours trading for Intel, show it’s up around +7%.

The company managed to post a profitable quarter; so, naturally the stock ‘launches’ based on the hopes of ‘recovery’.

One has to suppose the ‘n/a’ currently listed as P/E, reported by bigcharts.com, here, will be revised to show at least something.

SOXX, After Hours

A volatile day continues in the after-hours with SOXX, trading up about +0.66% (at 525.13).

The real question is, will that hold through to the next session or will it evaporate overnight.

Today’s Action(s)

As stated early in the day, the short position via SOXS, was exited with a profit for the trade series, around +3.7%.

The Semiconductor short via SOXS, was re-established later in the session at lower prices.

The new Hard Stop exit, is the SOXS low of 8.32 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Dogs Barking

We’re at the stage in this mass-psychosis mania where dogs (INTC), are starting to bark.

A full-blown downside, sustained, semiconductor (AI) reversal seems to be very close.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Market Extremes & Channels

March 16, 2023 By in INTC, LABD, SPBIO 1 Comment

Intel and Biotech

It’s the market’s job to frustrate and bankrupt as many participants as possible.

For the highly competitive alpha, the desire to ‘be right’ and catch the absolute turn, overrides any fear of ‘pulling the trigger’.

That fear is for the timid, over-calculating, fastidious type.

Either way, the market attempts to shake-out one side (the alpha trader) or leave the other side behind (the other traders).

Volatility & Price Extremes

So it is with both Intel (INTC), and biotech SPBIO, with its leveraged inverse LABD.

For Intel, today’s action looked like it would never stop and kept screaming higher.

However, if we look at the daily chart, INTC (at this juncture) has failed to post a new extreme daily high.

The chart shows that each recent extreme has been lower than the last (prices approximated).

Intel INTC, Daily

We’ll see if the next session or sessions will be able to penetrate farther to the upside … or if today was the last gasp before heading significantly lower.

For biotech SPBIO, and the leveraged inverse LABD it was a different story, high volatility.

With that sector, the wild price swings do not make it obvious but there’s (as of today) a nascent trend confirmation and trading channel.

SPBIO, Leveraged Inverse LABD, Daily Close

It’s been about six-weeks since the biotech reversal was identified in this post.

A short entry at the location noted (LABD 12.91) would now be yielding an open profit over + 50% (not advice, not a recommendation).

It’s easy to see at this point getting in position later, when it’s obvious, sets one up to get whacked on an adverse move like we’ve had over the past four sessions.

After Hours

With about 30-mintues left in the after-hours session, inverse LABD, is trading higher between 0.50% – 1.0% and INTC is lower by -0.38%.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Market Update: INTC

March 14, 2023 By in INTC

‘Negative Waves’

The market’s got a bad ‘vibe’.

It’s possible the latest bank-run scare was only a one-day reprieve.

Chief cook, and bottle washer, Intel (INTC) pushed past the upside area identified in the last update.

It now appears to be in a ‘test and reversal’.

The first chart is the hourly, showing the 50% retrace.

Intel INTC, Hourly

When pulling farther back to the daily, we see the trend line break being tested … today.

Intel INTC, Daily

During yesterday’s session, we have not even got started to the downside and already data vendors were having trouble (network problems) providing market quotes.

As this post is being created (2:05 p.m., EST) Intel continues to pull away from its intraday highs.

Currently trading at INTC 27.63.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Intel (INTC) Meets Target, Stalls

March 12, 2023 By in 2007 - 2008, INTC, ZeroHedge 1 Comment

Off, By Just 0.02-Point

Is downside reversal, next?

The last update on INTC, had this (emphasis added):

“One thing that can be said with some confidence, if INTC reaches 27.25 – 27.50, that puts it at The Danger Point®”

On Friday, Intel posted a daily high of 27.52, just 0.02-points above the projected range.

It closed up by + 2.95% for the day and bucked the overall trend of the markets which were decidedly lower on news of bank failures.

The 15-minute chart has the detail.

Note: A ‘cut-and-paste’ was done on the second chart to show how close price action came to the forecasted area.

Intel INTC, 15-minute

Original analysis

Updated (cut-and-paste) version.

On Friday, price action posted the 27.52-high, right about mid-session.

It retraced lower and then, near the close attempted to move higher again … which so far, has stalled.

Futures, In 4-Hours

It’s just over four-hours before the Sunday futures open.

Unknown of course, is whether or not we’re in the next ‘liquidity event’ a-la 2008 -2009.

If so, not many will be immune and especially not Intel (not advice, not a recommendation).

Intel Chip Factory, Ohio

Much ado is being made about Intel’s major chip factory slated for Ohio.

However, let’s all keep in mind, that projects can be cancelled or abandoned.

One such example for Intel was this one; abandoned in the center of Austin, Texas, for years until it was ultimately demolished.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Intel … The Last Squeeze ?

March 9, 2023 By in INTC 1 Comment

Straight Up … Into Resistance

Q: How do you know it’s a squeeze?

A: Price action goes straight-up, then collapses.

So, we won’t know for sure, until a downside reversal (not advice, not a recommendation).

Right now (as of 10:57 a.m., EST), we’re at the ‘straight-up’ part.

The INTC, 15-minute chart below, shows the action.

Intel INTC, 15-minute

There’s a lot going on in the chart.

We have a ‘confluence’ of Fibonacci retrace and projection at the 27.25 area.

In addition, there is a price gap in the vicinity of 27.50

Once again, if it’s a short squeeze, it won’t be known for sure until it’s all over and price collapses.

One thing that can be said with some confidence, if INTC reaches 27.25 – 27.50, that puts it at The Danger Point®

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279