Stunned … Unable To Move

It’s not supposed to be this way.

What about all the ‘money printing’ driving the dollar to extinction?

What about all those telling me $3,000/oz, in months, not years.

For today, it’s just not happening.

Adverse moves in gold (GLD) like we have right now, especially after months of incessant hype, puts those who bought into the narrative on the wrong side; stunned, unable to move.

There’s a small chance, this could be a shakeout before going higher. Anything can happen.

However, if we look at the chart of GLD, it’s a grim situation for the bulls.

Gold (GLD)

Daily chart, GLD:

This wasn’t just a one-day push above resistance and then reversal.

GLD, spent a Fibonacci 8-Days struggling to break out before this morning’s collapse.

Stunned bulls may think it’s a buying opportunity. If so, there’s likely to be some kind of underside test of resistance.

However, that’s not guaranteed. Moves like this tend to offer no relief and just grind their way lower.

Positioning:

At this juncture, we’ve got a nasty adverse move; putting the short position (DUST) well in the green (not advice, not a recommendation).

Any upward test of GLD, and the miners, GDX, GDXJ, is likely to reveal new support/resistance boundaries and possibly trend-lines.

If so, we’ll have something to monitor for a potential exit signal.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

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The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279