Category Archives: Wyckoff

SOXX, Net (up) Slows

May 9, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, Semiconductors, SOXX, Wyckoff 6 Comments

Wyckoff Concept

A Wyckoff tenet concerning directional moves, is ‘shortening of the thrust’.

As a move nears its end, net upward progress between thrusts, shortens.

On a closing basis, we see the SOXX launching ever higher but net progress after pullbacks, is getting shorter (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

eBay’s ‘Island Gap’

May 5, 2026 By in EBAY, EBAY-26-02, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff

From, All-Time Highs

If it holds, it’s an island gap-down from all-time highs.

The repeating spring to up-thrust set-up, is also shown.

We’re still in a terminating, rising wedge, at the extremes.

We’re also at The Danger Point®, where the risk on a short position is least (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Nvidia … at the Trend Line

April 1, 2026 By in Artificial Intelligence, NVDA, Semiconductors, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 1 Comment

Another Reversal?

Nvidia penetrated support and rebounded.

Now, it’s near a contact point on a downtrend line, that’s also part of a trading channel.

Behavior of the market as it pushed above resistance (up-thrust), then below support (spring) is clearly demonstrated.

This is what markets do, have done, for over a century.

As far back as 1902, in Wyckoff’s autobiography, he figured out that such movements have ‘nothing to do with valuations’ (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Downside Breakaway … SOXX

March 21, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Artificial Intelligence, Biotech, DIA, Dow 30, Nasdaq, NVDA, QQQ, SOXX, SPBIO, SPY, Wyckoff, XBI, XBI-26-04, YouTube Black Swan 2 Comments

Some Gaps, Never Filled

The day after the SOXX, topped on February 25th, was, this update.

In the case of Nvidia, it never printed or closed above the high reached on that day.

Well, the SOXX never made it back either.

Then, March 3rd, we have what looks like a ‘breakaway’ gap.

There’ve been at least two attempts to close that gap.

One of those attempts, a Wyckoff ‘spring’ set-up, which may have failed (not advice, not a recommendation).

Semiconductors SOXX, Daily

Other markets have rolled over as well; the Dow, S&P, the Qs, Biotech and so on (not advice, not a recommendation).

This just out, shows the typical response to an oil price shock, link here.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CrowdStrike at Resistance

March 5, 2026 By in CRWD, Software, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff 2 Comments

They Sell … Wall Street Buys

The earnings release tells an interesting story, link here.

After all’s said-and-done, CRWD still has a negative P/E.

Analysists are optimistic, while the insiders sell millions-worth (not advice, not a recommendation).

A push above resistance (blue line), puts CRWD in Wyckoff Up-Thrust position.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Spotify … Short Targets

February 10, 2026 By in Retail Investor, SPOT, Wyckoff, ZeroHedge 2 Comments

Dip, or Squeeze?

Spotify’s earnings release, coincided with a (supposedly) massive ‘retail’ buying spree, link here.

The article says it’s retail causing the launch; comment’s section, says otherwise.

From a Wyckoff analysis perspective, it doesn’t matter who’s doing the buying or why.

What matters, is what the market is saying about itself.

Spotify SPOT, Daily

As this link says, there’s not much sold short … less than 3% of float.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

DoorDash, Rally into Earnings?

February 7, 2026 By in AMZN, BALL, CPAY, DASH, DASH-26-01, DVA, ORLY, Wyckoff

‘Spring’ Position

DoorDash, has been traded once to the short side this year: DASH-26-01.

That trade was closed out (covered) on January 12th, profit of 7.58%.

Note, from the link above, after January 7th, and the ‘test’, price action began an immediate decline, to now.

An error on the trade, was not maintaining the position, and closing out this past Friday 🙂

At this point, we’ve penetrated support, now in Wyckoff ‘spring’ position.

Spring position does not guarantee a rally. It just means the market may attempt to move higher and take out any shorts late to the party (not advice, not a recommendation).

DoorDash DASH, Daily

Earnings release, February 18th, after the close.

As we’ve seen with the Amazon and O’Reilly collapse, Ball Corp., CorPay Inc., DaVita HealthCare launch (and others), response to earnings are all over the map.

There’s no telling what’s going to happen with earnings and DASH (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana, CrowdStrike, Cadence

January 31, 2026 By in CDNS, CRWD, CVNA, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Wyckoff

Earnings, late February, early March

Earning release for CVNA, CRWD, and CDNS, are scheduled here, here and here.

All three charts are in the same, or similar position.

Q: Anyone know?

A: Recently penetrated support or are testing that penetration.

Technically speaking, they’re all in Wyckoff ‘spring’ position (not advice, not a recommendation).

Chart analysis to follow.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana … The Day After

January 29, 2026 By in CVNA, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust, Wyckoff

Now, It’s Ready for New Highs?

Figuring out Carvana’s price action, can turn you into a nervous wreck. 🙂

The latest mortar lobbed at CVNA, was this report; yet again, the ‘fundamentals’ are interesting.

As the mid-session update said yesterday:

“It’s possible there might be higher action (staying below the session high) into, during, or just after the Fed announcement (not advice, not a recommendation).”

CVNA, continued on lower to penetrate support levels of January 2nd, this year.

After that, was a rebound into the close.

Wyckoff ‘Spring’ Position

With support penetration, rebound higher including today’s action, we’re in Wyckoff ‘spring’ position.

Now, comes the interesting part.

It’s possible, CVNA could move on to a repeating set-up, posting new all-time highs (not advice, not a recommendation).

Carvana CVNA, Daily

Note the massive down-thrust energy. This is possibly the largest ever, for CVNA (data going back to 2/12/20).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

DoorDash … Reversal Update

January 7, 2026 By in Bert Dohmen, DASH, DASH-25-01, DASH-26-01, David Weis, Wyckoff 2 Comments

Volume Clues

First time coverage on resistance and (potential) downside reversal on DASH, was here.

At this juncture, DASH gives us a volume clue.

Bert Dohmen commented in recent interviews, that ‘no one looks at volume’.

He (Dohmen) thinks it’s important as did Wyckoff and David Weis; covered on this DVD.

Today’s action stalled at resistance (blue line).

Volume compared to the prior session, contracted by -32.61%, or –33%.

We can see, there’s not a lot of distance to confirm a reversal (down) or continuation to the upside (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279