Category Archives: XBI

Biotech (may) Bounce

September 24, 2026 By in Biotech, SPBIO, Speck-Effect, The Speck, XBI

And Then?

Fibonacci ‘Day 21’, was a swift wide bar down move.

Wide bars tend to get tested, and we see that happening today and possibly tomorrow (not advice, not a recommendation).

When looking at the left side of the chart (compared to right), volatility has increased, indicating instability.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Market Highs, Weeks, Months Ago

September 18, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Artificial Intelligence, Biotech, DIA, Dow 30, House of El - AI, Nasdaq, Ox Talks, QQQ, S&P, S&P 500, Semiconductors, SOXX, SPY, XBI, XBI-26-11, XBI-26-12

Dow, S&P, Qs Et al.

The Dow (DIA) all-time highs were on August 5th, the S&P (SPY) on August 13th, the Qs (QQQ), way back on June 3rd; Semiconductors (SOXX), June 22nd, and the list goes on.

We have updates by the day, if not the hour, like this, this, and this, letting us know in real-time, the air’s coming out of the bubble (not advice, not a recommendation).

So, ‘gentlemen, start your engines‘ 🙂

Pick your market

Biotech XBI, Daily

The chart has an added bonus, showing the potential trading channel.

Trade Action: Yesterday, XBI-26-11, was exited at break even, then re-established (short) as XBI-26-12, and well-in-the-green by the close (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech (channel) Breakdown

September 15, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, IBB, IBB-26-05, SPBIO, XBI, XBI-26-11

Off The Cliff?

We won’t know for sure, until a long time from now … when it’s all over (not advice, not a recommendation).

Yesterday’s action in biotech IBB, posted a new daily high, while at the same time, XBI moved higher but was unable to post a new high.

Trade Action: IBB-26-05, was exited with profit and the short re-established as XBI-26-11 (not advice, not a recommendation).

As the chart shows (blue arrows), that XBI short was increased during today’s session.

Biotech XBI, Daily

We’re still at the far-right side, the ‘supply side’.

If the entire channel is in-effect, the ‘demand side’, is a long way away.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech follows Amgen … Down

September 8, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, AMGN, Biotech, IBB, IBB-26-05, SPBIO, XBI, XBI-26-10

IBB, Below Support

Amgen was whacked for a -10.08% loss during today’s session.

Biotech IBB, XBI, followed suit; down -2.17% and -1.15%, respectively.

Both indexes retraced during the day; it was noted XBI’s retrace was 50%, while IBB’s retrace as 38%.

Therefore, the trading response was to close short-trade XBI-26-10 (for profit), re-establish that short via IBB, as IBB-26-05 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Note in the chart above, the last time IBB pushed below support, it was in spring position and moved higher the next three sessions.

Markets tend to alternate.

Let’s see what happens next.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Tesla ‘Channel’

September 6, 2026 By in Transportation, TSLA, XBI, XBI-26-10

Right Way … Wrong Way

Potential false upside breakout moves from a down-channel, have happened before.

Once such occurrence, was here.

Let’s see if the trendline was drawn correctly, or not.

The segment is a closer view of where TSLA left-off last Friday.

If it’s in the channel, watch for a lower open and acceleration lower (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Moderna ‘Stretched’

September 5, 2026 By in Biotech, MRNA, SPBIO, XBI, XBI-26-10

The Most, Ever

The effect of Moderna’s single day +176.97% move, can be directly seen in biotech XBI gaining +5.90%, the same day.

Since then, it’s been just over two-weeks and already, Wall St. has ‘cooled‘ to Moderna.

You can’t make this up. 🙂

With that said, and from a market behavior standpoint alone, wide high-volume price bars, tend to be tested (not advice, not a recommendation).

Moderna MRNA, Weekly

With MRNA slamming into resistance, highest volume, widest bar, ever, sort of says ‘Ruh Roh‘.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech (short) Close-Up

September 4, 2026 By in Biotech, XBI, XBI-26-10

Documenting The Trade

Yesterday’s trade was a stretch to go short on biotech XBI, without (confirmation) posting a new daily low (yet),

Today, the new daily low … just barely.

What that does from a trading standpoint, is provide a definitive stop; yesterday’s high (not advice, not a recommendation).

From the chart, we’re at the edge of congestion with price action struggling to make new highs … that so far, are not happening.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech at The Edge (again)

September 3, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, ABNB, Biotech, CVNA, KMX, LABD, LABD-26-10, SPBIO, XBI, XBI-26-10 1 Comment

Is The Top, In?

Whether it’s Biotech XBI, Airbnb, CarMax or Carvana, trade set-ups are being worked that take place at the ‘edge of congestion.’

The last update on XBI, was here, August 24th, nine trading days ago.

The short, LABD-26-10 was immediately stopped out at the next session.

The index labored on, grinding in a range while posting a bearish MACD divergence on daily and weekly.

All of which, brings us to now.

The chart shows today’s action could not close above the resistance area posted back in July (not advice, not a recommendation).

There’s been no new daily low (yet).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech Spotlight

August 24, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, Ed Dowd, Greg Hunter, LABD, LABD-26-10, SPBIO, Speck-Effect, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, The Speck, XBI, ZeroHedge 1 Comment

Potential Set-Up

Over the weekend, Greg Hunter released his latest interview with Ed Dowd, link here.

ZeroHedge subsequently picked up that feed, link here.

As is typical with ZeroHedge, the comments are a veritable gold-mine. In the like above, they don’t disappoint.

With XBI, we have our repeating pattern, link here.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts, TC2000

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Biotech … Test & Reverse

May 1, 2026 By in $SPSIBI, Biotech, SPBIO, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust, XBI, XBI-26-05

Pivot Lower

This week, biotech XBI, broke below support and then came back to test.

Today printed a new daily low (and closed lower), indicating the test may be complete.

Short trade: XBI-26-05, opened late in the session with a stop just above the day’s high (not advice not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279