Author Archives: thedangerpoint

Silver, Nears The ‘Target’

June 6, 2025 By in Gold & Silver, JDST, JDST-25-12, MDB, MDB-25-01, Positions, SLV 1 Comment

What Happens, Then?

Let’s look at silver’s ‘breakout’ and see where the move might be headed.

A standard Fibonacci projection tool is shown on the silver chart; then, an additional chart (of MDB) presents how it looks, when met.

Silver SLV, Monthly

We’re very near the ‘100%’ projection.

Now, for an example of how it looks when the projection is met (exactly).

MongoDB, MDB, Daily

Price action hits the 261.8% exactly, after the earnings release.

After getting ‘whacked’ on positioning short the miners, all positions closed.

Standing aside for now (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Sell, Into The ‘Heat’

June 5, 2025 By in CRWD, CRWD-15-01, Positions

Against The Herd

Yesterday, CrowdStrike came on the radar with its less than stellar, earnings release.

That, along with pre-market action, put CRWD on the ‘short’ list (not advice, not a recommendation).

Let’s not forget, no P/E, and no yield. 🙂

The open was well below support.

It was tempting to go short immediately; the challenge, wait as long as possible (and not miss the entry).

CrowdStrike CRWD, 15-minute

Sell, into the ‘heat’.

Short entry @ 468.285 (note: correcting yesterday’s error of 468.25).

As the short was entered, CRWD, was screaming higher, nearly straight up.

We can see in retrospect; the entry was near the high.

In the markets, you’re either early, or late; I’d rather be early (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

CrowdStrike … Whacked!

June 4, 2025 By in CRWD, CRWD-15-01, Positions

Just The Beginning?

A self-inflicted wound.

Already short @ 468.25, CRWD-25-01, with stop to be the session high (not advice, not a recommendation).

Earnings release just out, shows, Revenues ‘below estimates’, link here.

CrowdStrike website, link here.

History of CrowdStrike from Wiki (not an endorsement), link here.

Charts to follow.

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Silver Breakout?

June 3, 2025 By in GDX, GDXJ, Gold & Silver, Gold Miners, JDST, JDST-25-12, Positions, SLV, ZeroHedge

Gold & Silver Miners (shorts) Capitulate?

Did the shorts just run for the exits?

Yesterday’s hysteria created yet another potential (sustainable) silver breakout, maybe.

Silver Surges: Breaking out of Triangle Pattern to New Highs in 2025, link here.

Producing another rush by the herd, attempting to trade what’s already happened.

The Silver Squeeze Awakens: Options Market Screams for More, link here.

The last update said ‘today could be the day’ … the day we get a downside reversal in the miners.

Instead, we have potential JDST short-side capitulation; with inference of GDXJ, downside (not advice, not a recommendation).

Junior Miners 2X Leveraged Inverse Fund JDST, Daily

Today is an important day.

Will we get follow-through on GDXJ (up) and JDST (down), or will the hysteria fade?

If this really is a silver squeeze, one would expect the market (SLV) to scream ever-higher (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Miners Gap Higher (pre-market)

June 2, 2025 By in BA, BA-25-04, DUST, GDX, GDXJ, Gold & Silver, Gold Miners, JDST, JDST-25-12, Positions, Spring-to-Up-Thrust 1 Comment

Is Today, The Day?

Gold miners, higher in the pre-market (as of 8:31 a.m., EST).

Looking at Senior Miners GDX, we’re at the edge of the lake.

This is where a trend continues (higher in this case) or it’s exhausted and will post sideways or reverse.

Senior Miners GDX, Daily

Important note: Today is Fibonacci Day 13, from the ‘spring’ lows to ‘up-thrust’ high(s)

Since this site’s already short (JDST-25-12), we’ll be watching the morning action closely 🙂

Other Markets

The expectation for Boeing, BA, was to begin its reversal after the ‘test’ last Friday.

In the pre-market, that’s not happening. It has not posted a new daily high (above last Thursday’s high), but it’s not going lower either.

BA-25-04, exited with -0.67% loss (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Sunday Night Futures

June 1, 2025 By in Gold & Silver, Positions, Ukraine, ZeroHedge

Gold, Silver, & The Ukraine

A reasonable expectation for the gold open, would be a launch higher, from airstrike news on the Russian military:

Zelensky Boasts Of ‘Absolutely Brilliant’ Longest Range Strikes While Kremlin Confirms ‘Terrorist Attacks’, link here

As it is in the markets, sometimes it’s what’s not happening, that gives the better indication.

As of this post 6:35 p.m., EST) gold opened a few points higher and is currently trading up around +0.36%; hardly, a ‘panic’ launch.

Silver is about the same, trading higher by +0.50%.

Is it possible, we might have ‘Tariff’ fatigue (shoving prices around), but news ‘whipsaw’ fatigue as well?

Of course, it’s a long way to the next open and anything can happen.

There’s no chart update as all positions remain unchanged (not advice, not a recommendation).

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Gold Miners at 12-Year Highs!

May 31, 2025 By in GDX, GDXJ, Gold & Silver, Gold Miners, JDST, JDST-25-12, Positions, Spring-to-Up-Thrust

‘Retail’ Says … I’m All In !

When you can buy gold bars at Costco, you know the top is, … or is nearly, … in (not advice, not a recommendation).

As a corollary, why wasn’t Costco selling gold back in 2001, when it was $271/oz.? Now, it’s all the rage.

With that, we’ll look at the miners; Juniors, GDXJ.

Junior Miners, GDXJ, Daily Close

Where have we seen this (price action) before?

Shown in the sidebar, already short via JDST, as JDST-25-12 (not advice, not a recommendation).

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Carvana, CarMax, to Rally?

May 30, 2025 By in CVNA, KMX 1 Comment

Reading The Tape

Rally? … Well, sort of for CarMax, and maybe for real, for Carvana (not advice, not a recommendation).

Since CarMax is the laggard, we’ll leave it alone for now and instead, focus on Carvana.

The last update said this (emphasis added):

“Prices are either congesting for a sustained launch higher or preparing to reverse.

So far, Carvana has refused to reverse.

Important to note, the disturbing Fibonacci time correlation. ‘Disturbing’, because we still have the fundamentals in play, link here.

Carvana CVNA, Daily

It looks unbelievable, but there it is.

Note how perfectly CVNA, is respecting Fibonacci levels and time correlation(s).

We’re in the pre-market as of this post (8:54 a.m., EST) and CVNA, is trading slightly lower.

If we get sideways action today, then Monday June 2nd, is the contact point with the trend as shown.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Boeing: ‘Pick Me’

May 29, 2025 By in BA, BA-25-04, Positions, Spring-to-Up-Thrust, Up-Thrust

The Set-Up, is In

No matter what happens from here, Boeing has met conditions of a repeating set-up: Spring-to-Up-Thrust (not advice, not a recommendation).

A ‘set-up’, does not guarantee anything.

It just means, market behavior is such, there’s a potential for correlated (i.e., directional) movement.

The last update said there was a possibly of ‘spring failure’.

It gave specific conditions for potential failure … neither of which, happened: BA, did not open lower that day and the weekly low, was not penetrated.

All of which, brings us to now.

Early this session, BA, launched into up-thrust condition as the ‘result’ of news, link here.

Forecast In Advance

It’s important to note, potential for today’s move was forecast with this update, including upside target.

That forecast had nothing to do with ‘news’, but everything to do with how markets (tend to) behave.

So, here we are. 🙂

Boeing, BA, Daily

Penetration of the target area creates an up-thrust. On the daily we have ‘spring-to-up-thrust’.

Not only is the daily a repeating set-up, but the weekly is as well, shown here.

Problems, A-Plenty

The problems for Boeing have not disappeared.

The CEO hinted at this, when he clarified his comments at the conference (paraphrasing):

‘Moments later, he corrected himself and said he wants to ‘get ready’ for production ramp-up, in hopes to meet (target) production levels’

One doesn’t decide to instantly ramp up production and then ‘poof’, it happens.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

(more) Pre-Market … Boeing

May 28, 2025 By in BA, Spring-to-Up-Thrust 1 Comment

When a ‘Spring’ Fails

Price action ‘failures’ provide and edge in market positioning.

In the case of Boeing (BA), from yesterday’s post, we’re expecting continued move higher off the ‘spring’ set-up.

So far, it hasn’t happened.

Instead, BA closed lower for the day; in the pre-market today (7:28 a.m., EST), it’s trading within ticks of that close.

So, what does it mean?

If, BA opens below yesterday’s low (200.88), we have a possible spring failure in the making; especially so, if price action prints a new weekly low, below 198.75 (not advice, not a recommendation).

Boeing BA, Daily

As this post is completed, BA is trading at 201.15, just slightly above the close of yesterday.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

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