Front Running The News

‘Out In Front, By A Year’

A pattern begins to emerge.

That is, the strategies and research presented on this site are leading actual news events by about twelve months.

Example No. 1: The Dollar Rally

The dollar rally potential (when first recognized) was presented in this post over a year ago.

Since then, about 10 – 11 months later, ZeroHedge picked it up only after it had become a full-blown reversal.

The dollar has continued to rally and is currently (after breaking support), in Wyckoff ‘spring position’.

Example No. 2: The Food Supply & ‘Inflation’

One of the earliest posts discussing the intentional destruction of the food supply, is linked here.

From that update, we had:

“The entire U.S. agricultural food supply infrastructure is being systematically dismantled.”

Those statements looked hyperbolic at the time.

Obviously, at this point, it’s becoming common knowledge; at least for anyone that’s listening.

Example No. 3: The ‘Speck Effect’

In what may have seemed like a brutal rant, has now become fact.

This rendition of ‘The Night Before Christmas’, posted over a year ago, had no links to support the intuitive assessment of what was to come.

That post has now been updated with the facts.

Warning Note:

Obviously, not everyone injected, is a coward.

Children are rightly terrified. Let’s be realistic.

However, the idiot parents and enabling Doctors and Pharmacists are (eventually) likely, as Dr. Vernon Coleman puts it, to be arrested and tried/convicted for either murder or attempted murder.

Summary

There are other research examples like gold and the gold miners but the three above, cover the picture fairly well.

From the data presented, it’s apparent at least two things are happening simultaneously.

No. 1: Strategic Analysis

World, market, and local (within the U.S.) events are researched and analyzed for potential impact.

No. 2: Market (Wyckoff) Analysis

Those events from No.1, are then linked to market action if any. Potential opportunities are identified.

The Path Forward:

This update is a very brief description of the site’s go-forward objectives.

What’s here, is a long-term (documented) track record of situational awareness; coupled with reading price action which in turn, is used as a case for market positioning.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

This Week’s Usual Suspects

Old Paradigm, Continues To Unravel

Bogart

One of the qualities that define leadership is the ability to recognize shifts in power or (public) perception that may lead to a complete change of direction.

Once that’s done, the change or new thinking is crafted into an approach whose objective is to successfully navigate (for however long) what will eventually become a ‘no-brainer’ way of thinking or acting.

As the old way(s) disintegrate, those who refuse or are unable to recognize this change, are likely to start ‘acting out’ in bizarre fashion as they realize the old method doesn’t work anymore.

They’re not able to see the shift as they were never leaders (to begin with) in the previous construct.

In part, this is what Buffett (not an endorsement) may have meant when he said … ‘It’s only when the tide goes out, that you find out who’s been swimming naked.’

Well, the tide’s going out in a big way and the water is receding with ever more rapidity.

As said before, what’s happening right now, is a fantastic public service for those paying attention.

A more efficient way could not have been constructed to reveal who has the best chance to be left standing (and surviving) as, or if, we come out the other side.

‘Acting Out’

Two links are going to be provided but not the ones to the specific examples at hand. Clicking on the links below will enable one to follow the rabbit trail and perform their own investigation.

Those links are here and here.

Into The Void

As the old way continues to self-immolate with what looks like increasing speed, a huge (leadership) void is opening.

Actually, that void was always there; posers were only posing, fooling the easily fooled.

Now, the jig is up.

The smart ones in this on-going collapse have already realized, probably a long time ago, ‘certifications’ and lots of letters after your name mean absolutely nothing when it all hits the fan.

They either are themselves, or are looking (and rightly so) for hardened leadership and/or experience.

As a result, we see real men (and women) stepping into the void: Men like Bjorn Andreas Bull-Hansen, Stew Peters and Dr. Vernon Coleman.

Women like Good Patriot.

Interestingly enough, at time stamp: 12:40 in her link she gives reference to Genesis 41. Coincidence? No.

Acceleration Ahead

Look for everything (supply chain, market implosion, The Speck, as we call it) to accelerate.

We can also get our popcorn ready for the self-imposed demolition of the ‘wealth management’ industry.

Prechter said it decades ago, ‘the next mega bear market will bring this sector to its knees’.

However, that’s an in-depth topic for another time.

In the meantime, go ahead and check for yourself. Pick any wealth management firm and go to their website.

I randomly went to three, just now.

One has a YouTube presence; one is local, and one is nationwide with over 7,000 ‘associates’.

All of them, every last one, are talking about the latest employment figures as if they are real.

Even Jerimiah Babe and Dan from I-Allegedly have stated the figures are false.

Remember, these outfits are “certified” by the same (combined) entity that’s pumping out the false data.

Just sayin’ 🙂

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279


Starving For Profits

Control Food, Control Profit

The next chess-move.

This article, just out, is one more data-point on where the next choke-hold will be applied … literally.

If you think about it, this could be the way precious metals are made irrelevant … just long enough for the ‘stackers’ to sell it all for food.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Silver, Going To Single Digits ?

It’s A Depression

And

It’s An Industrial Metal

They don’t call it ‘silver solder’ for nothing.

As the link above says, it’s almost ‘impossible’ to substitute.

Silver goes into nearly everything electronic.

Depending on whom you believe, the mainstream says the Future’s So Bright … right?

However, the charts say we may be headed much lower.

Remember the silver ‘short-squeeze’ and the little guy putting-it to ‘The Man’?

At this point, the only silver put around is on the little guy.

The Man’s going merrily along; short the sector that was so recently hyped with gold to “$3000 In Months, Not Years”

In Steven Van Metre’s latest update, he said no fewer than three times, the Fed ‘does not print money’.

It’s a false belief (by the public) they’re not about to change.

At the end if his video, he promised a report … or to make accessible his research on how that (not printing) is so.

Bringing us to the market at hand.

Silver (SLV)

Monthly un-marked chart.

The main thing to note above, SLV, is not at new highs.

In fact, at today’s price, SLV is down over 57%, from its all-time high set in April of 2011.

That in itself, should say there’s something wrong with the inflation, hyper-inflation, narrative.

Using a standard Fibonacci projection tool and tagging the 2011 high, the 2020 low, and the 2021, retrace high, we get the following:

It’s a little hard to see … so we’ll zoom in on the right side.

The 50%, Fibonacci projection, is somewhere between SLV: 9.00, and 9.50.

The premise for declining past 38% (around 13.70) and getting at least to 50%, is predicated on the collapse of the economy and subsequent evaporation of silver demand … at least from an industrial standpoint.

The precious metals ‘stacker’, discussed below, might become more interested in obtaining food than continuing to stockpile something that in times of famine, has very little use.

With the SLV chart above, is that even possible?

SLV, to single digits?

Well, can oil futures go negative?

Enough said.

Food As The Weapon

This site’s been steadfast in thinking, it’s the food first, then silver and gold.

Here are two more links to add to our ‘stack’ supporting that assessment.

The Stage Is Set

Famine Comes Next

As Bjorn says in ‘famine’, come this spring, when the masses realize there will be no (or very little) food and/or you need ‘papers’ to buy food, market pandemonium (if not already) is the likely result; precious metals included.

When To ‘Stack’

So, when will be the time to acquire precious metals (not advice not a recommendation).

It’s deceptively simple; ‘When you don’t want to’.

The time to acquire an asset, is when nobody else wants it … including you.

Positioning short the gold miners GDX, was done when everybody and their dog was a manic bull; screaming an upside breakout was “imminent”.

As Prechter said, positioning opposite the herd involves overriding the limbic system of the brain.

It’s an intellectual (logic-only, thinking) process.

However, overriding the lower brain, i.e., going against the herd, is physically painful.

Excruciating, is a better description.

He went on to say, some of the best traders/speculators he ever knew, were former Marines.

Positioning

Coming up (most likely tomorrow) will be a chart showing positions opened in GDX inverse fund DUST (not advice not a recommendation).

There’s no obligation on this site’s part to reveal that information.

However, it will help explain how the market itself directed trading actions.

It will also show how the on-going reversal corrected several entry errors on my part.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

The Future’s So Bright …

… I’ve Gotta Raise Rates !

That’s right. The economy’s so good, we’ve got to raise rates.

Well, almost.

First, there’s more aggressive tapering … then we raise rates … honest.

No, this isn’t an MTV video from the ’80s … it’s the Fed life.

The latest update from Steven Van Metre, has comments from the Fed that seem like they’re from another world, another time.

Evidently, the economy’s so strong … so good, that we might taper more aggressively and then … raise rates.

At this point, ‘what difference does it make?’

They’ve probably already cashed-out (like last time) and now stand on the sidelines.

Meanwhile back at the proletariat, we’re deciphering the market’s next moves … Fed press releasees notwithstanding.

Is Gold (GLD) The Black Swan ?

Frist off, there are several YouTuber’s that are providing an excellent service; letting us know the real state of the economy.

They are invaluable; thus, receiving their fair share of hate from those that don’t want to hear, see, or smell, ‘bad news’.

All of them willingly admit, they’re not experts when it comes to the markets … fair enough.

However, in Jerimiah Babe’s latest update, he may have unwittingly revealed a (or the) black swan.

Gold and the gold market.

JB’s offered the anecdote of attempting to purchase more gold at the dealer. For the first time ever, he was limited on the amount available.

From a market standpoint, the public, is all-in.

Even as we speak, gold (GLD) and the miners, GDX, GDXJ, are in a vicious downside reversal.

At this juncture, it looks like an upward test of resistance (discussed yesterday) is nowhere in the cards.

Price action for the most part, is straight down.

Which brings us to the charts.

GLD, Weekly Chart:

Marked up with resistance and the up-thrust reversal.

Zoomed area of the reversal

Personal Opinion:

Because the gold hype by the financial press was so incessant for so long (which by the way, has strangely ‘disappeared’), this reversal may be something that lasts much longer than anyone would expect (not advice, not a recommendation).

Downside Targets:

The weekly GLD chart below has a Fibonacci projection tool overlay.

A 161.8%, projection would take GLD down to 119 – 120.

Are the gold bulls prepared for an extended downside rout in the metals?

Summary:

Early morning food production.

It might not look like it’s connected to the markets but it is.

Market analysis presented on this site, helps steer actions needed to separate from (or reduce reliance on) the system.

Properly executed, trading is one avenue to provide income that’s necessary to eliminate the need for a corporate employer (not advice, not a recommendation).

Market analysis also helps identify what’s likely to come next.

But, I digress.

Getting back to the coop; four eggs a day … equates to over two dozen a week. Reliance on the grocery store (at least for eggs) has effectively been eliminated.

About a year’s worth of feed has been stockpiled.

Let’s put it a little differently; a year’s worth of feed has been ‘stacked’.

Personally, I like gold and silver as much as the next guy.

However, those in charge of this collapse have already stated, food will be used as the leverage weapon.

But hey, we shouldn’t have to worry about any of that, because, ‘The future’s so bright …’

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Mount Aso Volcano Erupts

Or … ‘How’s That Stack Of Silver ?’

One result of a solar minimum (reduced sun-spot activity) is increased volcanic eruptions.

That increase has something to do with more solar radiation hitting and penetrating the earth.

Thus far, it’s not fully understood.

A contrary thought; it’s understood (able to be manipulated) but that insight’s not going to be revealed to us the proletariat.

One data point in favor of the ‘proletariat’ scenario is at this link. Right at the start in the upper left, you see clouds.

What’s strange about them? Think ‘wavelength‘.

Hiding in plain sight.

Honorable Mention:

This update would be remiss if it did not mention the latest on China’s reduced fertilizer exports.

Futures market for Urea (not making that up), moving briskly higher.

Mid Session:

Back At The Ranch, SPBIO (LABD)

Biotech SPBIO, is in the process of testing yesterday’s action.

The hourly chart of the inverse fund LABD, has price action in the process of competing a secondary test.

The take-away is unchanged.

Biotech (SPBIO) looks like it’s preparing for a directional move (not advice, not a recommendation).

Price action thus far (since the support penetration), is consistent with that potential.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

‘Stacking’ … Strategic Error ?

Late Session

How many of our YouTube ‘stackers’ are chess players?

A quick check of three popular (randomly picked) ‘stacking’ YouTubers, has one showing his intro with a pile of silver being stacked under the floor.

The other has ‘trinkets’ on her desk and supposed collectibles behind her.

The other has gone as far to say, the reason gold and silver are not going higher, is because of the public itself.

No overt reference to chess or any reference to chess play as a means of addressing market conditions.

They may indeed have knowledge but they’re not showing it as a matter of course.

If memory serves, one of Richard Denis’ interview questions to his potential ‘Turtle’ trader(s) was whether he (she) played chess.

Take look at the host site’s business logo (Three Ten Trading, LLC) and we’ll leave the discussion there.

It’s the author’s opinion, the ‘stacker’ sites are in the business of getting more business; not analyzing the markets with any high level of thought or seriousness.

However, they might have a purpose.

It’s possible, they fulfill the ‘bread and circuses’ void that’s the hallmark of an empire’s collapse; which brings us to the situation at hand.

This ‘collapse’ we’re in, is a process not an event.

As we continue on, it’s becoming clear that single-mindedly stockpiling inedible metal in hopes of surviving what’s here now, and what’s coming, is a major (if not potentially fatal) blunder.

The players on this global chess board are making their moves and then counter moves.

Case in point is Southwest Airlines cancellations and shutdown.

Southwest Airlines:

The company has made its move.

The employees countered with their move. Perhaps even more importantly, they did it with bravery.

It’s likely, a large part of them, if not all (who are not showing up for work) will eventually be terminated.

It’s also reasonable to think when they made their move, they understood full well, the potential (termination) outcome.

Economic Shutdown:

As ZeroHedge reports, what if more corporations experience similar (employee walk-out) events?

What if it’s a mass exodus?

Is anybody really ready to walk or ride their bike … even a horse, to work because there’s no fuel at the gas station?

If there’s no fuel, there are no deliveries of any kind.

A check of the Home Depot, in this area has it relatively stocked in the garden section.

However, from a personal standpoint, after checking the local Tractor Supply, there’s no Jobe’s (organic) fertilizer to be found at either site (save the one torn bag at Home Depot).

The shelves are empty … for that item at least.

Mass Psychological Shift

Remember our example of herd behavior? That it can turn on a dime; doing it instantly across thousands of miles?

Storable food is running low. What about seeds and fertilizer?

Genesis 41

What happens when the public realizes all-at-once, it’s the food supply that’s not ever (in quantity) coming back?

Suppose they collectively decide (rightly or wrongly), the ‘stackers’ are just another herd of followers.

That it was all yet another lie; a diversion away from the real problem.

Silver and gold are great if you already have it.

However, this site’s sticking to the Biblical, Genesis 41, world view.

That is, corn and grain (food) come first. Then, gold and silver (not advice, not a recommendation).

Remember, Joseph was paid first (for grain) with money (i.e., the silver stack).

When the money was exhausted, livestock was used.

When that ran out, the people sold themselves into slavery to obtain food.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

GDX: Short Sell, Set-Up

11:50 a.m., EST

Gold miners back at it … about to ‘Up-Thrust’

The daily GDX chart is almost self-explanatory.

Price action spent about seven days in spring position before finally getting up enough energy to launch. The past two trading days have been essentially straight up.

Straight up that is, into known resistance.

This site’s not part of the hyperinflation crowd. It’s too easy to jump on the bandwagon, get the clicks and then say it’s all ‘manipulated’ when price action does not follow the narrative.

The (market) truth is and has been for a long time, gold and the miners are not yet confirming hyperinflation.

Buying gold/silver, gets more ‘clicks’ than buying food and showing everyone your freeze-dried plastic packs.

Since you have chosen to monitor this site, you have also made a choice to access information that’s not comfortable; information that may challenge (or even change) already held beliefs on how it’s all supposed to go down.

Case in point: With each passing day, it becomes more clear that food (Genesis 41) and the ability to create it, will come first as one storehouse of wealth.

Gold and silver will come … but only after nearly everyone has had it stripped from them (not advice, not a recommendation).

As of this post, GDX, is pushing through the resistance level shown in the chart.

How it behaves if/when it contacts the 38% level, will let us know if a downside reversal (up-thrust) is in the works.

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Silver … Heading Lower

2:41 p.m., EST

‘Short Squeeze’ is Over

Those getting that ‘uh-oh’ feeling with their precious metals hoard, being first to recognize the error (not advice, not a recommendation) may be out in front; liquidating to buy storable food, water filtration, protection and power.

Since there’s so much injection ‘resistance’ does anyone really think it’s over?

Next step, starve them out.

Taking a cue from the late Zig Ziglar; he would start his presentations by telling the audience the one that needs to listen most closely, the one who needs to heed (and follow) his advice most, was himself.

‘Walk the talk’ … which he did.

I personally have some silver … even some gold. However, I am following the Biblical (Genesis 41) standard of where we are (again, not advice, not a recommendation).

If I had a massive ‘stack’, there’s a risk I would begin to trust in the ‘riches’ themselves.

All that’s needed is some kind of ransom or cyber attack at major trucking centers to effectively shut down the food supply.

Its already happened with gasoline distribution … trucking companies would be child’s-play.

Here’s a presentation on just how quickly food becomes the main, if not the only consideration when supply lines break down.

The daily close chart of SLV, shows the possibility of a measured move lower to 18.0 – 18.50, area.

The caveat is, once a reversal like that gets going, the hyper–inflationists are going to get very nervous.

Then, if there’s another ‘infrastructure’ event, we could see a mass panic liquidation. The next chess move (food supply) would be obvious; the stackers would be ‘check-mated’.

Russian Ready:

Is it a coincidence the new Russian jet fighter is named: шахматы

That’s pronounced “Shock … ma … Tee” (Check-mate)

They’re standing by while the enemy continues to (intentionally) weaken its own defenses.

Recall, the Russians do not have a ‘diverse workforce’.

Not sure what the Russians would want with a pathetic soy-boy enclave of woke-ness.

Maybe they would feed them to the Chechens. 🙂

Stay Tuned

Charts by StockCharts

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Unprepared

1:57 p.m., EST

South Africa Food Lines

The video at this link paints the picture.

Let’s use the images in that video and get deathly serious for a minute.

Imagine yourself walking up to one of the people in line, asking this rhetorical question:

“How’s that stack of silver?”

It’s no secret to anyone that’s been monitoring this site, we’re using the Biblical model (Genesis 41) for the current environment (not advice, not a recommendation).

That is: Corn and Grain (food) first … then gold and silver.

At first it seemed like a quaint alternative to the non-stop hyperinflation (no thought required) rants to continue ‘stacking’.

Now, it’s different. Now, it’s getting serious.

You won’t see that kind of line outside the bullion dealer.

Moving on to the markets at hand … once again, biotech:

LABD (SPBIO) Analysis:

After yesterday’s LABD behavior, the logical thing to do would be to put the stop at the session low.

After all, that low was just below the lows of the previous day. Good to go, right?

Wrong.

It’s wrong because that’s what everyone would do. It looks like from today’s action, that’s what everyone actually did.

Recall that price action is automatic.

If there are too many stops all bundled up at one location, the orders will (automatically) be generated to go that that spot.

LABD price action penetrated the daily lows at a deeper level early in the session.

In the process, it penetrated well defined support which in turn, puts LABD, in spring position.

That’s where we are now.

Springs are usually tested.

If price action can hold above the support boundary, expectation is for a rally to at least the top of the range: ~ 24.50 – 24.75

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.