Trump Predicts ‘Depression’

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Best Buy Breakdown

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Fighting The ‘Collapse’

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The Ball Corp., Breakdown

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Do Not Pass ‘Go’

Do Not Collect $200

Go Stright To Economic ‘Depression’

And, that’s where we are ladies and gentlemen.

Provided many times on this site, the assessment we’ve gone straight past recession and directly to: ‘The Greater Depression’, or ‘The Great Depression 2.0’

By now, we’re all aware of this data, just out from ZeroHedge.

That data is at the ‘peak’ or the depths of 1932, and we in our current market, haven’t even got started!

‘Entertain Me’

YouTuber, Michael Cowan, has picked up the story.

You can hear the frustration in his voice (time stamp 1:31) as everybody seems to be waiting to be ‘entertained’ with a crash before they do anything.

It’s a good thing we’re not part of that ‘crowd’, right? 🙂

Lions and Tigers and The Fed, Oh My!

The Fed’s interest rate announcement is due out at 2:00 p.m., Eastern, today; does it really matter?

We can see with unbiased observation; the wheels have already, irrevocably, been set in motion.

The economy along with the ‘elephant’ that no one talks about, are juggernauts on a downward course.

The 1929 Crash, Then Bull Rally

Remember, the big market speculators of the early 1900s typically made their fortunes on the way down (not advice, not a recommendation).

Let’s also not forget, one of, if not the largest market rallies up to that time (in percentage terms), happened right in the middle of The Great Depression.

Chart by macrotrends: www.macrotrends.net

Of course, to trade that mid-1930s rally, you had to have the capital to do so.

Which brings us to the next topic: Real Estate.

Real Estate IYR, Weekly

With yesterday’s new print high, we’re at Fibonacci Week 34. That puts us at a potential trading channel or inflection point as discussed in this post.

There’s no guarantee of a trading channel or even a reversal.

However, we do have a confluence of events; upside volume (pressure) declining, marginal new highs and the potential Fed pivot point, due out today.

It’s about 20-minutes before the open. Let’s see what happens next.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Silver’s ‘Mysterious’ Decline

Read The Chart

Media analysts and YouTubers alike, are scratching their collective coneheads.

They’re asking; why is silver down a whopping – 39%, from its print high of February 1st, this year?

If we factor in the high of SLV 48.35 (from April of 2011), silver’s been pummeled – 65%.

With the ‘rampant’ inflation and never-ending money printing, silver (along with gold) should, there’s that word ‘should’, be skyrocketing higher.

It’s an apparent mystery; steeped with smoke-filled back rooms and intrigue.

The ‘Inflation’ Narrative

Let’s help unravel silver’s decline by taking a look at some of the facts.

First up, is ‘inflation’.

The inflation narrative is false. There; glad we got that out of the way. 🙂

How do we know?

We know it’s false because the price action itself, tells us it’s false.

It’s obvious at this point, what we have is supply destruction and not inflation.

The Economic ‘Connection’

Next up, is the economy.

Silver along with copper are industrial metals. They follow the economy … more so with copper. Copper futures are down – 32.5%, from their March 7th, highs.

Coper’s industrial uses are linked here. Nearly half of copper production is for building and construction.

Since the largest real estate bubble in world history has just popped, copper demand is essentially going to collapse.

If at this early stage of Great Depression 2.0, the average person can’t pay the phone bill, where are they going to get any money to drive precious metals demand higher?

Moving on to ‘truth’, we have price action.

Silver SLV, Weekly Close

The chart below has SLV, penetrating one support level (upper blue line) and just now, at the next support.

Since gold (GLD) is in position for an upward test of its wedge breakdown (chart not shown), it’s reasonable to expect another bounce off support for silver.

Using the ‘rule of alternation’, we already had a brief move off the first support level before reversing.

The next contact at lower support, will likely bounce for longer or not at all.

If silver can’t go higher … look out below.

Silver SLV, To Single Digits?

The economic depression is just getting started and industrial metals demand is already collapsing.

Although a data point of one, the following is significant.

Supporting the ‘depression’ assessment is this link; specifically, time stamp 3:20, with a recent graph of housing listings in California … going vertical.

SLV, is in position to test higher; thus, confirming the wedge pattern (grey lines) shown below.

Added to that pattern is a measured move target should SLV, break down to lower levels after an upward test.

There it is: ‘Mystery’ solved.

Silver is heading lower because price action said it would.

Now, the fundamentals are kicking in to add a potential mass acceleration to the decline.

Stay Tuned

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Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Depopulation, is Deflationary

‘Safe And Effective’

Independent sources confirming, Americans are now dying at unprecedented rates.

This article just out from Activist Post, contains two (possibly three) sources, each confirming the numbers.

One of the earliest posts that discussed mass depopulation, is linked here. Line-item No. 1, starts it off.

Murder For Hire

This post from September last year, discussed the ‘Elephant in the room’.

That elephant is, we’re at the front end of a potential mass genocide event (that’s already underway).”

Now, here is verifiable proof of just one avenue for ‘deflation’; i.e. demand is literally going to die-off.

This on-going tragedy or ‘plan’ depending on the source is not going to end anytime soon. In fact, we’re still at the front end of what will last for decades.

The medical establishments in the ‘proof’ link above, know exactly what they’re doing; their actions affect millions, if not billions, world-wide.

Fundamentals Of The Matter

This time, the fundamentals do matter.

By now, we all know the backdrop for the entire population world-wide, is ‘shortage’.

Shortage of almost everything.

However, one thing’s not short; stupidity.

We seem to be full up on that. Anecdotal evidence from a trip to the local Target had people still getting in line, apparently of their own free will, for injections.

At this juncture the results are starting to pile up.

One local school is so short-staffed from ‘illness’ (i.e. potential adverse effects), it closed this week; planned to re-open this coming Monday.

Dead Paradigm: ‘Money Management’

Schools are a microcosm of the entire population.

If schools are closing, what’s going on in the other industries? Just for argument, we’ll keep our focus on the ‘wealth management’ sector.

A quick check of a randomly selected ‘partnered research firm’ that has $1-Trillion in assets, 19,000 financial professionals, partnered with 800 institutions, shows in their market commentary, it’s nothing but, ‘blue skies ahead’.

With stats like that, one can surmise: This Is The Herd

The herd sees nothing but blue skies. All is well.

The Netflix implosion could be used to paint market potential as a whole (not advice, not a recommendation): Down over 20%, instantly.

Dan, from i-Allegedly, with his thousands of contacts, has repeatedly stated, the old way of doing business is not coming back: It’s over.

If you’re running a juggernaut of 19,000 ‘professionals’, how fast are you going to be able to change course if/when the market implodes?

New Paradigm: ‘Centralized Management’

You can almost feel it.

That may be the likely outcome of the potential wealth management implosion (not advice, not a recommendation).

That’s if the markets can even survive.

At time stamp 20:49, in this link, Dan may have given us the model for the entire commercial structure, post apocalypse.

After the small and medium businesses have been destroyed, it’s time for a centralized approach.

After it’s all over, if you’re ‘certified’, the centralized method may be all that’s left (not advice, not a recommendation).

Throw in the requirement to be fully ‘injected’ to be part of a centralized firm and voila!, It will become even more centralized as the management population naturally decreases (rapidly).

Taking that to its logical conclusion, as the ranks of certified managers decreases, the only ‘managers’ left will be those who are exempt; the government employees, i.e., the final solution.

There’s more than one way to confiscate an IRA (not advice, not a recommendation).

The War Room

As the ‘About‘ page has stated, we’re in a war; a financial war.

The rules of the game have changed.

The old way of gathering assets, making sure you don’t lose too much money or posting small gains, intentionally keeping clients blissfully ignorant (by spouting garbage like ‘due diligence’), is over.

What’s needed now, at least for starters, is straight talk and the truth; or as much of it that’s currently known.

So far, what is known is this:

Results of mass-injections are starting to show. The largest die-off in recorded (by insurance firm’s) history.

Shortages of everything and especially the food supply (search on this site for keyword, Genesis 41).

All market bubbles appear to be deflating simultaneously; gold miners and biotech leading the way.

The typical money management firm, if they’re nimble enough will begin to ‘minimize losses on the way down’.

They only know, or can only work in one direction: Up

After meeting with a reputable manager ($100s of millions under management) and asking him if he works the downside, the response was: ‘The clientele can’t handle the volatility’.

So, the answer is no.

The fastest, potentially most profitable direction, the direction that trading professionals prefer, i.e., ‘down’, is not worked by a typical firm. They wait for the upside.

What’s The Market Saying?

Wyckoff analysis focuses strictly on what the market’s saying about itself.

Looking at the table above, that market clearly shows, gold miners and biotech leading the way down; potentially going much lower and each for their own reasons.

On deck for tomorrow, a technical look at gold and the miners; what may be in store for continued downside action.

We’ll discuss Newmont’s apparent reversal; Juniors as the weakest sector, along with P&F and Fibonacci projections.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

The Danger Point®, trade mark: No. 6,505,279

Now, It’s A Depression

3:43 p.m., EST

Recession’s over … Depression starts

Boots on the ground update from Dan at ‘I Allegedly’.

Drastically reduced economic activity at premium retail locations.

From Uneducated Economist: There’s news the lumber mills are going to curtail production … right in the middle of summer … the high season.

Couple that with the strange ‘going’s on’ reported at this link concerning the database that’s being monitored.

Then, we have another strange ‘coincidence‘ that takes place every hundred years like clockwork.

Which brings us to the sector at hand: Biotech

SPBIO Analysis:

We’ve taken the hourly chart of biotech SPBIO, and inverted it; shown below:

Price action pushed through the spring set up conditions noted in the last update.

SPBIO went on to retrace to the 38%, level … where it is now.

Looking at the price structure of inverse fund LABD (not shown), the downward thrust energy on a daily basis has declined significantly.

That analysis to be forthcoming.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.

Depression Diaries

12:26 p.m., EST

The Great Depression is about to be eclipsed by ‘The Greater Depression’.

The Great Depression Diaries, is an excellent glimpse into the realities and timeline of a financial collapse.

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

After watching and listening to all segments, if you changed the dates, you’d think it’s talking about the here and now.

Three key takeaways are:

  1. Intentional destruction of the food supply
  2. Real unemployment numbers falsified
  3. People starved to death

We can look at today’s payroll data as a pivot point. For whatever reason (out of work, being paid not to work), the economy’s not coming back.

The belief the economy’s going to be stronger once the benefits run out (as stated in the linked article) is false.

The current economy is being intentionally destroyed.

That’s not too hard to determine.

Here’s just one more bit of data (unverified, but still of note) to support that assessment.

If you’re unemployed, starving to death, you’ll be a ready face-diaper wearing compliant subject; easily coerced into being injected (executed).

Obviously, the goal is to be as independent, self-employed as possible so we’re not that person.

Which brings us to the culprit du jour: Biotech.

Yesterday, the expectation was for a reversal and test (that day) before SPBIO continued its downward trajectory (LABD higher).

It looks like the test is lasting two days (maybe more) instead of one.

Inverse fund, LABD is currently trading near 24.15. That’s right in the vicinity of the expected range between 23.90 – 24.30, stated yesterday.

LABD did push a little bit lower in the early session to 23.68, but still within expected range.

LABD is testing the right side channel line and trying its best to break through. Thus far, the low for the day remains at 23.68.

If there’s an upward (LABD) reversal from here, a Fibonacci Day 8, from the original Day 55 low, it would give more confirmation we’re at least following the trendline; potentially at the very right side of a huge trading range.

Stay Tuned

Note:  Posts on this site are for education purposes only.  They provide one firm’s insight on the markets.  Not investment advice.  See additional disclaimer here.